医疗设备以旧换新专题系列六:12月数据同比-8%,25年全年同比+25%
Southwest Securities·2026-01-23 10:36

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the medical equipment industry, with an expected year-on-year growth of 25% for the year 2025 [22]. Core Insights - The medical equipment industry is experiencing a slight decline in December data year-on-year, attributed to a high base effect from the previous year. However, there is a significant month-on-month increase of 38% due to accelerated budget spending at year-end [3]. - The report highlights that the current round of medical equipment upgrades is nearing its end, with expectations for a new round of equipment replacement in 2025, which is projected to be no less than the previous round [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies, including the issuance of long-term special bonds to support large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer replacement programs [15]. Summary by Relevant Sections Medical Imaging - December figures for medical imaging reached 9.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 11%, while the forecast for 2025 is 69.3 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 37% [5]. Life Information and Support - In December, life information and support equipment generated 2.6 billion yuan, an increase of 8%, with a projected total of 16.7 billion yuan for 2025, marking a 28% growth [5]. Endoscopes - Soft endoscopes reported 1.1 billion yuan in December, down 9%, while hard endoscopes reached 1.2 billion yuan, down 7%. The 2025 projections for both are 7.8 billion yuan for soft endoscopes (+12%) and 7.8 billion yuan for hard endoscopes (+3%) [5]. Radiation Therapy - December figures for radiation therapy stood at 1.6 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1%, with a forecast of 9.6 billion yuan for 2025, indicating a growth of 32% [48]. Surgical Robots - Surgical robots saw a significant decline in December, with figures at 600 million yuan, down 24%, but are expected to reach 5.2 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a robust growth of 54% [51]. Key Companies - Major companies in the sector include Mindray, which reported 1.9 billion yuan in December (+20%) and is projected to reach 11.2 billion yuan in 2025 (+35%), and United Imaging, with December figures of 2.2 billion yuan (0% change) and a forecast of 12.6 billion yuan (+37%) for 2025 [55][58].