Tebon Securities·2026-01-23 11:36Market Analysis - The A-share market is experiencing a volatile upward trend with significant trading volume, as the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16 points, up 0.33%, and the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.79% to 14439.66 points, with a total market turnover of 3.12 trillion, an increase of approximately 400 billion (+14.8%) from the previous trading day [2][5][7] - The market is characterized by a broad-based rally, with 3938 stocks rising and 1389 falling, indicating a strong profit-making effect [2] Sector Performance - The photovoltaic equipment sector led the market with a significant increase of 9.95% in the photovoltaic selection index, driven by new market hotspots in space photovoltaics, following support from Tesla's CEO Elon Musk at the World Economic Forum [5][9] - The commercial aerospace sector also showed strength, with several stocks hitting the daily limit, supported by upcoming events and the launch of China's first commercial manned spacecraft [5][9] - Conversely, the financial sector faced pressure, with the optical module and insurance selection indices declining by 2.24% and 1.81%, respectively, reflecting a continued shift in market style [5][7] Policy and Market Trends - The market is currently driven by a dual engine of policy and industry trends, with high trading volumes indicating active capital flow from undervalued financial sectors to high-growth sectors, particularly in small and mid-cap growth stocks [7][13] - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as photovoltaics (including space photovoltaics and HJT technology), commercial aerospace, and precious metals (gold and silver), while being cautious of pure concept stocks that may face delisting risks [7][13] Bond Market - The bond market saw a slight increase in government bond futures, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.07% to close at 112.30 yuan, supported by a net liquidity injection of 1 trillion yuan by the central bank this month [7][9] - The central bank's actions indicate a clear expectation of continued monetary easing, which is expected to support bond prices [7][9] Commodity Market - The commodity market is maintaining an upward trend, with the Nanhua Commodity Index rising by 1.14%, driven by precious and new energy metals, while some sectors like energy and agricultural products faced localized pressure [7][9] - Silver prices are approaching the $100 mark, with the main contract closing at 24,965 yuan/kg, reflecting strong demand driven by both financial and industrial factors [7][9] Trading Hotspots - Recent hot sectors include AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain-computer interfaces, robotics, and consumer goods, with a focus on policy support and technological advancements [10][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring developments in these sectors, particularly in terms of application scenarios and project progress [10][13]