Zhao Yin Guo Ji·2026-01-23 14:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ping An Insurance, with a target price raised to HKD 90 based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation [1][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the fourth quarter earnings may see relief amid growth stock corrections, with expectations of a 12% year-on-year increase in group OPAT for 2025, reaching RMB 136 billion, and a 5.1% increase in net profit to RMB 133 billion [1][3]. - The insurance company is projected to achieve double-digit growth in NBV (New Business Value) in 2026, driven by strong first-year premium growth and stable profit margins [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY25, the net profit is expected to be RMB 162.5 billion, with EPS projected at RMB 7.52, reflecting a 5.1% year-on-year increase [5][13]. - The report provides a detailed financial summary, indicating a steady increase in net profit and EPS over the forecast period, with net profit reaching RMB 175.7 billion by FY27 [5][15]. Valuation Metrics - The target price of HKD 90 implies a valuation of 0.9 times the FY26E price-to-earnings ratio and 1.24 times the price-to-book ratio [4][14]. - The report employs a comprehensive valuation method, indicating a fair value for various segments, including life insurance and property & casualty insurance, contributing to the overall target price [4][14]. Business Growth Drivers - The report notes that the bank's insurance channel is expected to benefit from a shift in household deposits, with a projected 18% growth in NBV for FY26 [2][4]. - The strong performance in the insurance sector is supported by robust underwriting profits and improved investment service results, particularly in the context of a recovering capital market [1][3].