计算机行业周报20260124:Token需求“通胀”:从CPU到云服务-20260124
Guolian Minsheng Securities·2026-01-24 12:44

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The demand for Tokens is rapidly increasing, leading to a price increase trend that is expected to extend from upstream components to CPUs and cloud services. AWS has initiated price hikes, breaking the long-standing trend of decreasing cloud service prices, which may lead to a revaluation of cloud computing and related service providers [11][14][30] - The AI industry chain is experiencing inflation transmission, with cloud computing potentially being the next area to see price increases following storage and CPU [14] - The CPU sector is expected to have long-term growth prospects due to the increasing demand for AI computing power, with Intel indicating that supply constraints will persist into 2026 [16][23] - The database segment is also poised to benefit from the rising demand for cloud computing, with the potential for significant revenue growth as the number of database PCU nodes increases [26][29] Summary by Sections 1. AWS Price Increase Initiates Global Cloud Computing Price Trend - The AI industry chain is experiencing a price increase trend, with AWS leading the charge by raising prices for its EC2 machine learning capacity blocks by approximately 15% [14] - This price adjustment reflects a shift in supply-demand dynamics and may facilitate further price increases in the future [14] 1.1 Cloud Computing as the Next Inflation Direction - The demand for AI is driving price increases across various segments, with cloud computing expected to follow suit [14] 1.2 CPU: Long-term Development Prospects Under AI Agent Trend - Intel is facing supply constraints that may continue into 2026, with demand for CPUs expected to exceed supply [16] - The importance of CPUs is increasing as AI applications evolve, necessitating more robust processing capabilities [20][23] 1.3 Database: Another Key Beneficiary of Cloud Computing Industry Chain - The growth in demand for AI-driven applications is expected to increase the number of database PCU nodes, leading to significant revenue potential [26][29] 1.4 Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the following sectors: 1) Cloud Computing: Alibaba, Kingsoft Cloud, UCloud, Deepin Technology, and others 2) CPU: Haiguang Information, China Great Wall, Loongson Technology, and others 3) Database: StarRing Technology, Dameng Database, and others [30]