Guolian Minsheng Securities·2026-01-24 13:20Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The company reported a slight revenue growth of 0.01% year-on-year for 2025, indicating a recovery in revenue growth compared to the previous quarters [6][7]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 1.21% year-on-year, showing stable growth [6]. - The company's total assets grew by 7.56% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 5.37% [6]. - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.94% and a provision coverage ratio of 391.79% [6]. - The report suggests that the company is expected to leverage its solid retail customer base and asset under management (AUM) advantages to enhance performance in 2026 [6]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2025 revenue is projected at 337.51 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 0.0% - 2026 revenue is expected to reach 349.78 billion yuan, growing by 3.6% - 2027 revenue is forecasted at 365.54 billion yuan, with a growth of 4.5% [6][37] - Net profit for 2025 is estimated at 149.17 billion yuan, with a growth of 0.5% - Net profit for 2026 is projected at 151.57 billion yuan, growing by 1.6% - Net profit for 2027 is expected to be 156.86 billion yuan, with a growth of 3.5% [6][37] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - EPS for 2025 is expected to be 5.69 yuan - EPS for 2026 is projected at 5.79 yuan - EPS for 2027 is forecasted at 6.00 yuan [6][37] - Valuation Ratios: - Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 is 7 times, for 2026 is 6 times, and for 2027 is also 6 times - Price-to-Book (PB) ratio for 2025 is 0.8 times, for 2026 is 0.8 times, and for 2027 is 0.7 times [6][37]