美妆行业周度市场观察-20260125

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the beauty industry Core Insights - The beauty industry is facing significant challenges in 2025, including market contraction, the end of traffic dividends, and intensified competition, leading to many brands exiting the market. However, leading companies are showing resilience due to their scale and R&D advantages, while smaller brands struggle due to limited resources [4] - The luxury goods sector is witnessing a trend where high-end brands are leaving premium shopping malls, which are now embracing new consumer brands to attract foot traffic. This shift indicates a failure of the traditional "top brands + prime locations" model [4] - The global beauty industry is entering a transformation phase in 2025, with growth rates slowing from 7% to 5%. The market is shifting towards segmentation and premiumization, with significant mergers and acquisitions occurring [6] - The beauty industry is experiencing an upgrade in 2026, characterized by a surge in plant-based ingredients and significant changes in packaging, indicating a move towards ecological and high-end transformations [6] Industry Trends - In 2025, over 30 well-known beauty brands are expected to exit the Chinese market, with a significant proportion being Japanese and Korean brands. This is attributed to the rise of domestic brands and changing consumer demands [6] - The application of generative AI in the fragrance sector is projected to contribute $9-10 billion to the global beauty industry, enhancing product development, marketing insights, and customer experiences [7] - The beauty industry is witnessing a rise in plant-based ingredient registrations, with nearly 25% of new ingredient registrations being plant-based by the end of 2025, indicating a shift towards ecological beauty [6] Head Brand Dynamics - Aldi's beauty brand Lacura has gained popularity by offering high-quality products at low prices, appealing to young consumers and reflecting a shift towards value-driven beauty consumption [10] - Lin Qingxuan has successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the first high-end domestic skincare brand to do so, with a focus on research and global expansion [10] - The brand Hai Gui Ba Ba is leveraging emotional resonance and cultural connections in its marketing strategies, particularly targeting youth during the New Year period [10]