林平发展：皖系包装纸头部厂商，高端新产线蓄势待发

Group 1: AHP Scores and Expected Allocation Ratios - Linping Development's AHP scores, after excluding liquidity premium factors, are 1.29 and 2.01, placing it in the 17.1% and 36.9% percentiles of the non-Science and Technology Innovation Board AHP model, indicating a lower to mid-level position in the industry [10][11] - Assuming a 95% admission rate, the expected allocation ratios for offline A and B categories are 0.0121% and 0.0105% respectively [10][11] Group 2: Company Fundamentals and Highlights - Linping Development is a leading manufacturer of packaging paper in Anhui Province, with a current raw paper production capacity of 1.15 million tons, holding a market share of 0.75% nationally and 35.65% in Anhui Province [11][12] - The company plans to launch a new 8600mm corrugated paper production line in 2026, which will enhance its high-end product offerings and increase total production capacity to 2.35 million tons [11][12] - The company is committed to low-carbon development and has implemented a green manufacturing strategy, utilizing resources efficiently through combined heat and power generation [12][14] Group 3: Industry Trends and Competitive Landscape - The demand for corrugated and boxboard paper is expected to grow due to the e-commerce and logistics sectors, with a projected CAGR of 4.83% and 5.06% from 2015 to 2024 [16] - The removal of import tariffs on finished paper in 2023 led to a temporary surge in imports, but by the first half of 2025, import volumes have significantly decreased, stabilizing domestic prices [16][19] - The industry is experiencing increased concentration, with the CR10 rising from 36.67% in 2015 to 49.39% in 2024, driven by stricter environmental regulations and the exit of smaller players [16][19] Group 4: Financial Performance and Comparisons - Linping Development's revenue and net profit from 2022 to 2024 showed a CAGR of -7.09% and -0.52% respectively, primarily due to tariff adjustments and natural disasters impacting performance [20][24] - The company’s gross margin improved to 10.32% in the first half of 2025, with a stable cash collection ratio of 1.00, indicating strong operational efficiency compared to peers [26][29] - The average P/E ratio of comparable companies is 30.72X, while Linping Development's industry P/E is 26.24X, suggesting a relatively favorable valuation [20][24] Group 5: Investment Projects and Future Vision - The company plans to raise funds through an IPO to support projects including a 900,000-ton green intelligent manufacturing project and a 600,000-ton bio-based fiber project, with total investments of 20.58 billion yuan [39][40] - Upon completion, these projects will enhance product structure and production efficiency, solidifying Linping Development's competitive edge in the market [39][40]