电力设备与新能源行业1月第3周周报：马斯克宣布扩大光伏制造产能，碳酸锂价格延续强势-20260125

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Insights - The global sales of new energy vehicles are expected to continue rapid growth through 2026, driving demand for batteries and materials [1]. - Lithium carbonate prices have been on the rise, recently surpassing 180,000 RMB per ton, which will impact the pricing of cathode materials and batteries [1]. - The solid-state battery technology is entering a critical phase of engineering validation, with a focus on related materials and equipment companies [1]. - In the photovoltaic sector, the report emphasizes a "de-involution" strategy, with Tesla's CEO announcing plans to enhance solar manufacturing capacity, which is expected to boost the output of core equipment and materials in China [1]. - The demand for wind power is projected to remain strong, with government initiatives supporting significant new projects [1]. - The energy storage sector is expected to maintain high demand, with a recommendation to focus on energy cell and large-scale integration manufacturers [1]. - Hydrogen energy is anticipated to see increased demand, particularly in green hydrogen applications, with a focus on equipment and operational segments [1]. - The report highlights the long-term potential of nuclear fusion as a future energy direction, suggesting attention to core suppliers in this area [1]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The power equipment and new energy sector saw a 3.57% increase this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2][10]. - The wind power sector experienced the highest growth at 7.78%, followed by power generation equipment at 6.54% and nuclear power at 4.16% [2][13]. New Energy Vehicles - The retail market for narrow passenger vehicles in January is estimated at around 1.8 million units, with new energy vehicles accounting for approximately 800,000 units and a penetration rate of 44.4% [2]. Battery Materials - Lithium carbonate prices have surged, with battery-grade prices reaching approximately 171,500 RMB per ton, reflecting a 12.46% increase [14]. - The report notes that the price of NCM523 and NCM811 cathode materials has also risen, indicating a trend of increasing costs across battery materials [14]. Photovoltaic Sector - The report indicates that silicon material prices are under pressure due to weak demand, with current prices for dense materials around 50-60 RMB per kg [15]. - The price of battery cells has increased, with N-type battery cells reaching approximately 0.42 RMB per watt [17]. Energy Storage - The price of lithium concentrate has risen significantly, with CIF prices reaching approximately 1,955 USD per ton, marking a 28.2% increase [24]. - Energy cell prices for square lithium iron phosphate have also increased, with a range of 0.395-0.465 RMB per watt-hour [25]. Hydrogen Energy - The report highlights the potential for green hydrogen demand to grow, particularly in applications related to coal chemical processes and green methanol [1]. Nuclear Fusion - The report suggests that nuclear fusion could catalyze future energy developments, recommending attention to core suppliers in this field [1].