Orient Securities·2026-01-25 13:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the utility sector [8] Core Views - The growth rate of electricity generation is marginally declining, with a narrowing decrease in thermal power generation. In December 2025, the electricity generation of large-scale power plants increased by 0.1% year-on-year, a 2.6 percentage point improvement from November 2025, primarily affected by temperature factors [8][12] - Fund holdings in the utility sector have increased, with a focus on thermal power companies. As of the end of Q4 2025, the utility sector accounted for 1.25% of total fund equity investment, up by 0.10 percentage points from the previous quarter [11] - The performance expectations for the utility sector have reached a low point, making low-priced utility assets worth considering. The report indicates that the utility sector is still a quality dividend asset worth long-term allocation [8][11] Summary by Sections Electricity Generation - In December 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for various power sources were as follows: wind power +8.9%, solar power +18.2%, hydropower +4.1%, and nuclear power +3.1%. The decrease in thermal power generation was -3.2% [8][12][18] Fund Holdings - Fund holdings in the utility sector have increased, with the most significant increases in companies like Huaneng International (+1.1%), Anhui Energy (+0.9%), and Jintou Energy (+0.9%) [11][39] Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the average market clearing price for electricity in Guangdong increased by 4.5% year-on-year, while in Shanxi, it rose by 18.2% year-on-year [25][27] - Coal prices have weakened, with the Qinhuangdao Q5500 coal price at 685 CNY/ton, down 1.4% week-on-week [29][30] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on thermal power companies such as Jintou Energy, Huaneng International, Huadian International, Guodian Power, and Anhui Energy for potential investment opportunities [8][11] - For hydropower, it suggests investing in quality large hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guangxi Power [8] - For nuclear power, it recommends China General Nuclear Power as a long-term growth opportunity [8] - In the wind and solar sectors, it suggests waiting for the industry profit bottom to turn, with a focus on companies with a high proportion of wind power [8]