ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2026-01-25 13:14Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights that the pharmaceutical sector is showing resilience, with a focus on capturing opportunities from companies that can deliver on their growth potential. The report suggests that investors should continue to allocate to pharmaceutical bottom assets as fund holdings have returned to a low level [3][10] - The report indicates that the A-share funds' top ten holdings in the pharmaceutical sector account for 9.15%, a decrease of 1.93 percentage points from the previous period. Excluding pharmaceutical funds, the allocation drops to 3.43%, down 1.39 percentage points [3][10] - The report emphasizes the strong performance of certain pharmaceutical companies, particularly in innovative drugs and upstream life sciences, with notable profit growth forecasts for companies like Zhaoyan New Drug and Kangchen Pharmaceutical [3][10] Summary by Sections Market Dynamics - The pharmaceutical sector has outperformed the broader market, with a return of 6.66% compared to the CSI 300's 1.57% since the beginning of 2026, indicating a 5.10 percentage point advantage [14] - Recent performance shows a mixed trend, with pharmaceutical commercial, traditional Chinese medicine, and medical devices showing positive growth, while chemical pharmaceuticals and medical services have declined [10][14] Valuation Metrics - The current valuation of the pharmaceutical sector is at 23.3 times PE based on 2026 earnings forecasts, which is a premium of 11.3% compared to the overall A-share market (excluding financials) at approximately 21.0 times PE [17] - Using the TTM valuation method, the pharmaceutical sector is valued at 30.3 times PE, which is below its historical average of 34.9 times PE, indicating a relative premium of 11.2% over the broader market [17] Recommended Stocks - Key recommended stocks include WuXi Biologics, Sangfor Technologies, Tigermed, and others, with an average increase of 13.41% in January, outperforming the pharmaceutical sector by 6.74 percentage points [26][27] - The report notes that the top ten pharmaceutical stocks held by public funds include companies like Hengrui Medicine and WuXi AppTec, with a strong preference for innovative drugs and leading players in niche markets [3][10]