Changjiang Securities·2026-01-25 23:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry, indicating an expectation of relative performance that exceeds the relevant market indices over the next 12 months [10]. Core Insights - In Q4 2025, the transportation sector's public fund heavy holding ratio decreased by 0.03 percentage points to 1.09%, primarily due to significant reductions in logistics and supply chain investments, while the aviation sector saw a slight increase in allocation [2][6]. - The number of heavily held stocks in the transportation sector increased to 60, with a total market value of 21.49 billion yuan, reflecting a 15.3% quarter-on-quarter increase [6]. - The transportation sector index outperformed major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, and ChiNext Index, with a quarterly increase of 3.4% [6]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings - The transportation sector's allocation is ranked 17th among 32 primary industries, indicating an underweight status compared to the standard allocation ratio of 2.46% [6]. - The allocation ratios for sub-sectors in Q4 2025 are as follows: Aviation (0.50%), Logistics and Supply Chain (0.34%), Rail and Road (0.12%), Maritime (0.08%), and Transportation Infrastructure (0.05%) [6][14]. Heavy Holdings - The top five heavily held stocks in the transportation sector accounted for 57.7% of the total market value, with the top ten accounting for 79.2%, indicating an increase in concentration [7]. - The leading stocks by market value in Q4 2025 were China Eastern Airlines (4.55 billion yuan), Southern Airlines (3.08 billion yuan), and SF Express (2.29 billion yuan) [7][22]. Northbound Capital - Northbound capital holdings in the transportation sector increased to 4.3%, with the aviation sector being the largest segment at 11.61 billion yuan, representing 27.5% of the transportation industry [8][26]. - The top five stocks with the highest foreign ownership ratios included Sichuan Chengyu, Southern Airlines, and Iron Dragon Logistics, with foreign ownership ratios of 15.4%, 14.6%, and 8.1% respectively [8][26].