Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 74.76 RMB based on a 30x PE for 2026 [3]. Core Insights - The company, HIGOLD GROUP, is a leading player in the domestic furniture hardware industry, showcasing strong alpha and high profitability with a projected revenue CAGR of +35% and net profit CAGR of +76% from 2020 to 2024 [1][3]. - The furniture hardware market is estimated at 700 billion RMB, with a clear "pyramid" competitive structure where foreign brands dominate the high-end market while domestic leaders rapidly rise in the mid-to-high-end segments [1][2]. - The company has established a robust competitive moat through brand building, channel advantages, and extreme manufacturing capabilities, making its business model difficult to replicate [2]. Financial Performance - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 7.5 billion RMB, 10.0 billion RMB, and 13.1 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a current PE ratio of 36.1, 27.3, and 20.8 for those years [3][7]. - Revenue is projected to grow from 2,222 million RMB in 2023 to 6,167 million RMB in 2027, with a revenue growth rate of 37.13% in 2023 and expected to stabilize around 30% in subsequent years [7][23]. - The company's ROE is forecasted to remain above 30%, reflecting its high return on equity driven by strong profitability and efficient asset turnover [3][36]. Industry Overview - The furniture hardware industry is a critical component of the furniture manufacturing process, with a market size exceeding 2000 billion RMB, and a specific focus on the home functional hardware market estimated at around 700 billion RMB [1][53]. - The industry is characterized by a diverse range of products, including basic hardware, functional hardware, and storage hardware, which are essential for enhancing furniture quality and functionality [50][54]. - The demand for home functional hardware is supported by stable renovation needs in the existing housing market, contributing to a solid growth outlook for the industry [1][53].
悍高集团：五金龙头，高速进击-20260126