贵金属数据日报-20260126

Group 1 - The report is a precious metals data daily report, providing data and analysis on precious metals such as gold and silver [3][4] Group 2 - On January 23, 2026, the closing price of the main contract of Shanghai gold futures rose 2.55% to 1115.64 yuan/gram, and the main contract of Shanghai silver futures rose 8.5% to 24,965 yuan/kilogram [4] - Geopolitical risks such as the Greenland crisis, US sanctions on Iran, and the consideration of overthrowing the Venezuelan regime have led to a surge in risk aversion, boosting precious metal prices [5] - Large - scale capital outflows from currency and sovereign debt and into gold and silver have pushed up the prices of gold and silver [5] - Japan's actions in the bond market, the hawkish stance of the Bank of Japan governor, and the sharp rebound of the yen have increased the decline of the US dollar index, which is beneficial to precious metal prices [5] - London spot gold approached $5000 per ounce, and London spot silver broke through $100 per ounce for the first time in history, with an intraday increase of over 7% [5] Group 3 - In the short term, geopolitical risks, high market uncertainty, risk - aversion, and strong silver fundamentals will continue to support precious metal prices. However, the risk of short - term profit - taking should be watched out for due to the upcoming tripartite contact between Russia, Ukraine, and the US and the Fed's January interest - rate meeting [6] - In the long - term, the Fed is in an easing cycle, geopolitical uncertainty will continue, the trend of de - dollarization will accelerate, and the allocation demand of global central banks, institutions, and residents is expected to continue. So the price center of precious metals is likely to move up. Investors are advised to buy on dips or sell out - of - the - money put options [6] Group 4 Price Tracking - 15 - point prices on January 23, 2026: London gold spot was $4954.27/ounce, London silver spot was $99.03/ounce, COMEX gold was $4955.00/ounce, COMEX silver was $99.04/ounce, AU2602 was 1111.88 yuan/gram, AG2602 was 24994 yuan/kilogram, AU (T + D) was 1110.30 yuan/gram, and AG (T + D) was 24970 yuan/kilogram. Compared with January 22, 2026, the price increases were 2.7%, 5.3%, 2.7%, 5.4%, 2.6%, 6.9%, 2.7%, and 6.9% respectively [4] - Price differences on January 23, 2026: The gold TD - SHFE active price difference was - 1.58 yuan/gram, the silver TD - SHFE active price difference was - 24 yuan/kilogram, the gold internal - external price difference (TD - London) was - 3.55 yuan/gram, the silver internal - external price difference (TD - London) was - 166 yuan/kilogram, the SHFE gold - silver ratio was 44.49, the COMEX gold - silver ratio was 50.03, AU2604 - 2602 was 3.76 yuan/gram, and AG2604 - 2602 was - 29 yuan/kilogram. The changes compared with January 22, 2026 were - 25.5%, 33.3%, - 28.3%, - 67.5%, - 4.1%, - 2.6%, - 6.5%, and - 6.5% respectively [4] Position Data - On January 23, 2026, the gold ETF - SPDR was 1086.53 tons, the silver ETF - SLV was 16089.98142 tons, COMEX gold non - commercial long positions were 295772 contracts, non - commercial short positions were 51002 contracts, non - commercial net long positions were 244770 contracts, COMEX silver non - commercial long positions were 42965 contracts, non - commercial short positions were 17751 contracts, and non - commercial net long positions were 25214 contracts. Compared with January 22, 2026, the changes were 0.64%, - 0.09%, - 0.14%, 13.48%, - 2.57%, - 9.24%, 16.19%, and - 21.35% respectively [4] Inventory Data - On January 23, 2026, the SHFE gold inventory was 102009 kilograms, the SHFE silver inventory was 581090 kilograms, the COMEX gold inventory was 36144280 troy ounces, and the COMEX silver inventory was 416424863 troy ounces. Compared with January 22, 2026, the changes were 0.00%, - 1.35%, 0.00%, and - 0.42% respectively [4] Interest Rate/Exchange Rate/Stock Market - On January 23, 2026, the US dollar/yuan central parity rate was 6.99, the US dollar index was 97.51, the 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.60%, the 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.24%, the VIX was 16.09, the S&P 500 was 6915.61, and NYMEX crude oil was $61.28/barrel. Compared with January 22, 2026, the changes were - 0.13%, - 0.79%, - 0.28%, - 0.47%, 2.88%, 0.03%, and 2.70% respectively [4]