银行业周报:财政金融协同政策加码,被动资金流出扰动行情-20260126
Yin He Zheng Quan·2026-01-26 06:39

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the banking sector, highlighting its dividend value and low valuation as attractive for long-term investors [5][10]. Core Insights - A package of fiscal and financial policies has been introduced to support the banking sector, particularly in optimizing loan structures and stabilizing interest margins [7][8]. - The banking sector has experienced a decline of 7.44% year-to-date, underperforming the broader market, primarily due to passive fund outflows [9][10]. - The report emphasizes the potential for credit growth and structural optimization in the banking sector, driven by government policies aimed at supporting small and medium enterprises [8][9]. Summary by Sections Latest Research Insights - The report discusses the implementation of six fiscal and financial policies aimed at enhancing credit support for small and medium enterprises, including a 1.5% interest subsidy on loans [7][8]. - These policies are expected to lower overall financing costs and stimulate demand, thereby benefiting the banking sector [8]. Weekly Market Performance - The banking sector index fell by 2.70% during the week, while the broader Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index decreased by 0.62% [18]. - State-owned banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks saw declines of 4.36%, 3.08%, 0.43%, and 0.70%, respectively [18]. Valuation and Company Performance - As of January 23, 2026, the banking sector's price-to-book ratio stands at 0.64, indicating a 32.99% discount compared to the overall A-share market [35]. - The sector's dividend yield is reported at 4.92%, which is higher than the average for all A-shares, ranking second among industries [35]. - Eight listed banks have reported stable earnings recovery for 2025, with most showing growth in total assets compared to 2024 [15][16].