碳中和领域动态追踪（一百七十）：英国发布《Warm Homes Plan》，大幅刺激户用光储需求

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the electric power equipment and new energy sector, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months compared to the market benchmark [4]. Core Insights - The UK has launched the "Warm Homes Plan," committing £15 billion in public funds to retrofit 5 million homes and assist 1 million families in energy poverty by 2030. This plan is expected to significantly boost demand for residential solar storage and heat pumps [1]. - The plan allocates £2.7 billion for subsidies and £2 billion for low-interest loans to support the purchase of residential solar storage and heat pump systems, alongside £5 billion for assistance to low-income households and £1 billion for heating network investments [1]. - The anticipated growth in the residential solar storage and heat pump sectors is substantial, with projections of 3 million new solar installations and over 450,000 heat pumps installed annually from 2026 to 2030 [1][2]. Summary by Relevant Sections Residential Solar PV - By the end of 2025, the UK is expected to have a cumulative installation of 1.6 million residential solar PV systems, with less than 200,000 new installations in 2025. The "Warm Homes Plan" aims for an additional 3 million installations from 2026 to 2030, translating to an annual increase of 600,000 installations [2]. Residential Energy Storage - In 2025, the UK is projected to add 0.7 GWh of residential energy storage, equivalent to 70,000 units based on a 10 kWh per unit calculation. If 600,000 new solar PV systems are installed annually, with a storage integration rate of 50%, this would result in 300,000 new storage units each year, potentially increasing to 600,000 units if the integration rate reaches 100% [2]. Heat Pumps - The report indicates that approximately 60,000 heat pumps will be installed in 2024. The "Warm Homes Plan" targets an average annual installation of over 450,000 heat pumps from 2026 to 2030, representing a significant increase compared to 2024 [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from the European and Australian residential storage markets, such as Airo Energy, GoodWe, Jinlang Technology, and Pylontech. It also highlights the potential for valuation increases in the residential storage sector and recommends low-valuation leading companies like Deye Technology [3]. Additionally, it advises attention to companies in the heat pump sector, such as Rujing Technology, and battery cell manufacturers like Penghui Energy, which may see improved profitability with unexpected demand increases [3].