Zhongyuan Securities·2026-01-27 07:50Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the mechanical industry, relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [1]. Core Insights - The mechanical sector has shown a strong performance, with a 9.68% increase in January, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by 8.02 percentage points [3][10]. - Key sub-sectors such as photovoltaic equipment, 3C equipment, laser processing equipment, oil and gas equipment, and semiconductor equipment have seen significant gains, with increases of 44.52%, 36.32%, 21.48%, 20.92%, and 20.17% respectively [3][10]. - The report suggests focusing on traditional engineering machinery with stable earnings and high dividend yields, as well as on humanoid robots and AIDC supporting equipment [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Mechanical Sector Performance - The mechanical sector's performance in January 2026 was strong, with a 9.68% increase, ranking 8th among 30 major industries [3][10]. - The report highlights the recent upward trend in sub-sectors, particularly in photovoltaic and semiconductor equipment, which had previously been lagging [4][10]. 2. Engineering Machinery - The report indicates a positive outlook for the engineering machinery sector in 2026, driven by a recovery in demand and an ongoing equipment update cycle [20][41]. - Key statistics include a 19.2% year-on-year increase in excavator sales in December 2025, with total sales for the year reaching 235,257 units, a 17% increase [20][27]. - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the engineering machinery sector, such as SANY Heavy Industry and XCMG [41]. 3. Robotics - The industrial robotics sector continues to recover, with a 14.7% year-on-year increase in production in December 2025, totaling 90,116 units [42][49]. - The humanoid robot industry is rapidly developing, with over 140 companies and more than 330 products launched in 2025, marking it as a year of mass production [42][44]. - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in leading companies and core component suppliers within the robotics sector [49]. 4. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector shows signs of recovery, with new ship price indices stabilizing and ongoing profitability improvements for shipbuilding companies [50]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's shipbuilding output increased by 6.0%, maintaining a leading position globally [50].