EMEI SHAN(SZ:000888) Orient Securities·2026-01-27 08:49Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 17.28 yuan based on a 32x PE ratio for 2026 [3][10][6]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a recovery in visitor traffic, supported by shareholder return policies that are boosting off-season performance. Improvements in transportation capacity are expected to enhance long-term visitor numbers [2][9]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 has been adjusted downwards due to anticipated weak performance, with EPS estimates revised to 0.45, 0.54, and 0.61 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][10]. - The company has completed a board restructuring and is advancing its tea tourism strategy, which is expected to provide additional revenue streams [9]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financials are as follows: - Revenue (million yuan): 1,045 in 2023, 1,013 in 2024, 973 in 2025, 1,034 in 2026, and 1,090 in 2027, with a year-on-year growth of 142.3% in 2023, but a decline of 4.0% in 2025 [5][14]. - Operating profit (million yuan): 135 in 2023, increasing to 334 in 2027, with a significant growth of 168.4% in 2023 [5][14]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company (million yuan): 228 in 2023, projected to reach 323 in 2027, reflecting a growth of 256.2% in 2023 [5][14]. - EPS: 0.43 in 2023, expected to stabilize at 0.45 in 2025 and grow to 0.61 in 2027 [5][14]. - Gross margin: 49.7% in 2023, expected to improve to 51.6% by 2027 [5][14]. - Net margin: 21.8% in 2023, projected to increase to 29.6% in 2027 [5][14].