股指期货早报2026.1.27：A股大金融有色上涨，热门题材下跌-20260127

1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - Overseas data shows the resilience of the US economy, further dampening the Fed's rate - cut expectations. The Fed's non - rate - cut expectations, the possible US government shutdown, and geopolitical turmoil affect asset prices. US stocks are mainly influenced by economic fundamentals [2]. - On the domestic A - share market, the market showed a differentiated trend on Monday. The large - finance and other sectors rose, pulling the index up, while popular themes declined, and trading volume increased, showing a somewhat stagnant upward trend. The base for the broader market is around the 20 - day moving average or 4050. During the earnings report period, cyclical growth stocks with good earnings performance are more stable [2][3]. - The Securities Daily's call to "reject theme speculation and strengthen the rational foundation of the capital market" reflects the management's policy orientation towards a slow - bull market. With the approaching of the pre - Spring Festival trading period, the cooling of leveraged funds is inevitable [3]. 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Important Information - Trump raised the reciprocal tariff rate on South Korea from 15% to 25% due to the South Korean Congress's non - approval of the bilateral trade agreement [5]. - US media reported that Trump thought Iran hoped to reach an agreement [6]. - The probability of a US government shutdown before the end of January is about 80% [7]. - NVIDIA deepened its cooperation with CoreWeave, adding a $2 billion investment [8]. - The EU will fully ban the import of Russian liquefied natural gas in January 2027 and Russian pipeline gas by the end of September 2027 [8]. - The People's Bank of China held the 2026 macro - prudential work meeting to proactively assess systemic financial risks and innovate policy tools to maintain financial market stability [8]. - The Ministry of Foreign Affairs reminded Chinese citizens to avoid traveling to Japan during the Spring Festival [9]. - The Hong Kong Treasury Bureau signed a cooperation agreement with the Shanghai Gold Exchange, aiming to exceed 2000 tons in three years to make Hong Kong a globally trusted gold storage location [9]. - Policies to foster new growth points in service consumption will be introduced soon [10]. - Zijin Mining plans to acquire 100% of Allied Gold Corporation for 28 billion yuan [11]. Futures Market Tracking - Futures Market Performance: The Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index rose 0.57%, with its futures contracts IH2602, IH2603, IH2606, and IH2609 up 0.69%, 0.67%, 0.76%, and 0.78% respectively. The CSI 300 Index increased 0.10%, and its futures contracts IF2602, IF2603, IF2606, and IF2609 rose 0.21%, 0.22%, 0.30%, and 0.14% respectively. The CSI 500 Index fell 0.97%, and its futures contracts IC2602, IC2603, IC2606, and IC2609 dropped 1.98%, 2.17%, 2.42%, and 2.72% respectively. The CSI 1000 Index declined 1.24%, and its futures contracts IM2602, IM2603, IM2606, and IM2609 decreased 2.40%, 2.67%, 2.68%, and 2.91% respectively [13]. - Futures Trading Volume and Open Interest: The total trading volume of futures was 778,013 lots, an increase of 176,215 lots. The total open interest was 39,867 lots, a decrease of 16,877 lots [14]. Spot Market Tracking - Spot Market Performance: The Wind All - A Index fell 0.68%, the Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index declined 0.85%, and the ChiNext Index decreased 0.91%. Among sectors, non - ferrous metals, petroleum and petrochemicals, coal, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery led the gains, while military industry, automobiles, social services, and electronics led the losses [35]. - Influence of Market Styles on Indexes: For the SSE 50 Index, the cyclical style contributed positively, while the growth and consumer styles contributed negatively on the day. For the CSI 300 Index, the cyclical and financial styles contributed positively, while the growth and consumer styles contributed negatively. For the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 Indexes, most styles contributed negatively on the day [36][37]. - Valuation and Other Indicators: The report presents the valuation and historical quantiles of important indexes and Shenwan sectors, as well as data on market weekly average trading volume, weekly average turnover rate, the number of rising and falling stocks, index trading volume changes, stock - bond relative returns, Hong Kong Stock Connect, margin trading balance, and margin trading net purchase amount and its proportion in A - share trading volume [38][44]. Liquidity Tracking - The report shows the central bank's open - market operations (including money injection, money withdrawal, and net money injection) and the Shibor interest rate level [50][51].