碳酸锂日报:碳酸锂强势运行-20260127
Bao Cheng Qi Huo·2026-01-27 11:08
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate market is strongly operating. The closing price of the main contract LC2605.GFE in the futures market is 179,600 yuan/ton, up 13,920 yuan/ton from the previous day, showing an upward trend in the past 10 trading days. The spot price of lithium carbonate is 172,400 yuan/ton, down 5.08% from the previous day, also showing an upward trend in the past 10 trading days. The current basis is -620 points, a negative basis (spot discount), which is 5,300 points weaker than the previous day, and the basis has strengthened overall in the past 10 trading days. The registered warehouse receipt volume of lithium carbonate is 29,166 lots, an increase of 520 lots (+1.82%) from the previous day, and the warehouse receipts have increased overall in the past 10 trading days. The social inventory is generally low [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industry Dynamics - Futures Market: The closing price of the main contract is 179,600 yuan/ton, up 13,920 yuan/ton from the previous day and 19,100 yuan/ton from the previous week; the settlement price is 173,020 yuan/ton, down 3,920 yuan/ton from the previous day and up 17,560 yuan/ton from the previous week [6]. - Lithium Ore: The price of Australian CIF6 Chinese lithium spodumene concentrate is 2,570 - 2,630 US dollars/ton, with a daily increase of 200 - 160 US dollars/ton and a weekly increase of 620 - 610 US dollars/ton; the price of Brazilian CIF6 Chinese lithium spodumene concentrate is 2,560 - 2,620 US dollars/ton, with a daily increase of 200 - 160 US dollars/ton and a weekly increase of 630 - 620 US dollars/ton; the price of Zimbabwe CIF6 Chinese lithium spodumene concentrate is 2,550 - 2,610 US dollars/ton, with a daily increase of 190 - 170 US dollars/ton and a weekly increase of 640 - 610 US dollars/ton; the price of Malian CIF6 Chinese lithium spodumene concentrate is 2,280 - 2,400 US dollars/ton, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 320 - 360 US dollars/ton; the price of South African CIF Chinese lithium spodumene raw ore is 370 - 420 US dollars/ton, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 110 - 100 US dollars/ton [6]. - Lithium Mica: The average market price of lithium mica with different Li2O contents has increased to varying degrees compared with the previous day and the previous week. For example, the average market price of lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5 - 2) in China is 3,230 yuan/ton, up 265 yuan/ton from the previous day and 360 yuan/ton from the previous week [6]. - Lithium Carbonate and Lithium Hydroxide: The price of domestic 99.5% electric lithium carbonate is 172,400 yuan/ton, down 9,220 yuan/ton from the previous day and up 19,860 yuan/ton from the previous week; the price of domestic 56.5% lithium hydroxide is 165,880 yuan/ton, down 3,240 yuan/ton from the previous day and up 18,840 yuan/ton from the previous week; the price difference between lithium hydroxide (56.5%, domestic) and lithium carbonate (99.5% electric, domestic) is -6,520 yuan/ton, up 5,980 yuan/ton from the previous day and down 1,020 yuan/ton from the previous week [6]. - Ternary Materials and Related Products: The prices of some ternary precursors and ternary materials have increased slightly compared with the previous week. For example, the price of ternary precursor (523) is 110,500 yuan/ton, with no daily change and an increase of 10,000 yuan/ton from the previous week; the price of ternary material (111, power, domestic) is 197,000 yuan/ton, with no daily change and an increase of 12,500 yuan/ton from the previous week [6]. - Downstream Products: The price of electrolyte (lithium manganate) is 52,500 yuan/ton, with no daily change and an increase of 10,000 yuan/ton from the previous week; the average price of cobalt acid lithium (≥60%, domestic) is 400,500 yuan/ton, with no daily or weekly change; the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate is 138,000 yuan/ton, with no daily change and a decrease of 16,000 yuan/ton from the previous week [6]. 3.2 Related Charts - Ore and Lithium Prices: The charts show the price changes of lithium mica, lithium carbonate futures, lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, lithium carbonate basis, and the price difference between lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate [8]. - Cathode & Ternary Materials: The charts show the prices of lithium manganate, lithium iron phosphate, cobalt acid lithium, ternary precursors, and ternary materials [11]. - Other Related Data of Lithium Carbonate Futures: The charts show the changes in the trading volume, open interest, and registered warehouse receipt volume of lithium carbonate futures [17].