英大证券电力能源行业周报-20260128

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][65] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the power energy industry is expected to perform well, with the industry index projected to outperform the CSI 300 index in the next six months [65] - The total electricity consumption in China reached a historic high of 10 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [10] - The report highlights significant growth in the renewable energy sector, particularly in solar and wind power, with substantial increases in installed capacity [11][12] Industry Events - In January 2026, the maximum electricity load in China broke records, reaching 1.417 billion kilowatts, driven by increased demand due to extreme weather [11] - Tesla's CEO announced plans to expand solar manufacturing capacity significantly, which is expected to boost the solar manufacturing outlook [11] Market Performance - During the period from January 19 to January 25, 2026, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.62%, while the power equipment index rose by 3.57%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 4.19 percentage points [5][13] - Among the 31 first-level industries, the power equipment sector ranked 11th in performance [16] Power Industry Operations - In December 2025, total electricity consumption was 908 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 2.77% [23] - From January to November 2025, the newly added power generation capacity was 44.557 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 40.71% [25][26] - The average utilization hours of power generation equipment decreased by 289 hours year-on-year to 2858 hours [33] New Power System Situation Photovoltaics - As of January 21, 2026, the average price of polysilicon was 54 yuan/kg, remaining stable [42] Energy Storage - By the end of December 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of energy storage projects in China reached 213 GW, a year-on-year increase of 54% [47] Lithium Batteries - As of January 23, 2026, the price of lithium carbonate was 168,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase [50] Charging Infrastructure - By the end of December 2025, the total number of charging facilities in China reached 20.092 million, a year-on-year increase of 56.75% [57]