2025Q4基金持有可转债行为分析:基金持有转债规模下降,有色金属行业转债被减持较多
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q4 2025, the market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index and Wind All - A Index rising, while the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index falling. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose by 1.32%. The equity and convertible bond markets fluctuated at high levels with weaker overall gains than in Q3. The conversion premium rate increased from 44.73% on September 30 to 46.57% on December 31 [1][10]. - At the end of Q4 2025, the scale of convertible bonds held by funds decreased, but the proportion of the market value of convertible bonds held by funds to the balance of the convertible bond market increased. Different - type funds had differentiated changes in the scale of convertible bonds held, with mixed - bond - type secondary funds increasing their holdings and passive - index - type bond funds reducing their holdings [2][11]. - Convertible bond funds' scale increased quarter - on - quarter. Their performance was weaker than the CSI Convertible Bond Index and the Wind All - A Index in Q4 2025. The average return rate was 0.86%, and the median return rate was 1.09% [3][40]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 2025 Q4 Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 2.22%, the Wind All - A Index rose 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.01%, and the ChiNext Index fell 1.08%. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 1.32%. The conversion premium rate increased from 44.73% on September 30 to 46.57% on December 31 [1][10]. 3.2 Fund Holding Convertible Bond Behavior Analysis 3.2.1 Fund Holding Convertible Bond Total Scale Change - By the end of Q4 2025, the balance of the convertible bond market was 552.999 billion yuan, a decrease of 55.551 billion yuan from the end of the previous quarter. The scale of newly issued convertible bonds was 15.035 billion yuan. The scale of convertible bonds held by funds was 308.256 billion yuan, a reduction of 8.362 billion yuan from the end of the previous quarter, a 2.64% quarter - on - quarter decrease. The proportion of the market value of convertible bonds held by funds to the balance of the convertible bond market was 55.74%, a 3.71 - percentage - point increase from the end of Q3 2025 [11]. 3.2.2 Various Funds' Holding Convertible Bond Scale Change - In Q4 2025, mixed - bond - type secondary funds held the largest scale of convertible bonds (110.566 billion yuan), followed by mixed - bond - type primary funds (66.391 billion yuan) and passive - index - type bond funds (60.141 billion yuan). Mixed - bond - type secondary funds increased their holdings by 39.28 billion yuan, and mixed - bond - type primary funds increased by 16.07 billion yuan. Passive - index - type bond funds reduced their holdings by 90.87 billion yuan, and other types of funds also had different changes in holdings [15][19]. 3.2.3 Fund Positioning Behavior Analysis - Fund Positioning Industry Distribution: The top five industries with the largest scale of convertible bonds held in Q4 2025 were banking (55.014 billion yuan), power equipment (47.634 billion yuan), basic chemicals (24.739 billion yuan), electronics (24.298 billion yuan), and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (17.188 billion yuan). Non - ferrous metals had the largest reduction in holdings (4.636 billion yuan), and the electronics industry had a relatively large increase in holdings (2.853 billion yuan) [23][24]. - Fund Positioning Individual Bond Distribution: Among the top 5 convertible bonds held by funds, 3 were bank - related (Industrial Bank Convertible Bond, Shanghai Bank Convertible Bond, and Chongqing Bank Convertible Bond). Industrial Bank Convertible Bond had the largest increase in holdings (1.905 billion yuan) [29][30]. - Fund Holding Convertible Bond Rating: AA - rated convertible bonds had the highest proportion (30.81%) among those held by funds [33]. 3.3 Convertible Bond Fund Holding Convertible Bond Behavior Analysis 3.3.1 Convertible Bond Fund Scale Change - By the end of Q4 2025, there were 38 existing convertible bond funds, with a holding scale of 51.287 billion yuan, a quarter - on - quarter increase of 2.15 billion yuan [34]. 3.3.2 Convertible Bond Fund Positioning Behavior Analysis - Convertible Bond Fund Positioning Industry Distribution: The convertible bond funds held the largest market value of convertible bonds in the power equipment industry (7.331 billion yuan). The banking industry had the largest increase in holdings (659 million yuan), and non - ferrous metals had the largest reduction in holdings (1.553 billion yuan) [35]. - Convertible Bond Fund Performance: In Q4 2025, the average return rate of convertible bond funds was 0.86%, the median return rate was 1.09%, and the average return rate of the top - ten convertible bond funds was 2.79%. Their performance was weaker than the CSI Convertible Bond Index and the Wind All - A Index [40].