Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of New Oriental-S (9901.HK) to "Buy" [1] Core Insights - FY26Q2 revenue reached USD 1.191 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%, exceeding previous guidance. Net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 45.45 million, up 42.3% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was USD 72.90 million, reflecting a 68.6% increase year-on-year [5][6] - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance for FY26 to USD 5.292-5.488 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 8%-12%, up from the previous guidance of 5%-10% [7] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of USD 0.12 per share and has initiated a USD 300 million share buyback program, indicating management's confidence in future growth [7] Revenue Performance - The revenue breakdown for FY26Q2 shows: 1) Overseas business revenue grew by 4.1% year-on-year, focusing on core exam preparation needs 2) Domestic exam preparation for adults and university students saw a 12.8% year-on-year increase, becoming a core revenue support 3) New educational businesses reported a 21.6% year-on-year revenue growth, with significant expansion in non-subject tutoring across approximately 60 cities [6] 4) Dongfang Zhenxuan achieved revenue of RMB 2.3 billion in the six months ending November 30, 2025, a 5.7% year-on-year increase, and turned a profit of RMB 239 million [6] Profitability and Efficiency - FY26Q2 Non-GAAP operating profit was USD 89.13 million, a significant increase of 206.9% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 7.5%, up 4.7 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The improvement in profitability is attributed to a focus on core operations, cost reduction measures, and efficiency optimization through organizational restructuring and AI technology [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for FY26-28 has been revised upwards, with net profit estimates of USD 497 million, USD 585 million, and USD 680 million for FY26, FY27, and FY28 respectively, reflecting increases of 33.8%, 17.7%, and 16.2% [9] - The projected EPS for FY26-28 is USD 0.31, USD 0.37, and USD 0.43, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18x, 15x, and 13x, indicating a strong position in the education and training industry [9][10]
新东方-S(09901):——新东方-S(9901.HK)FY26Q2业绩点评:FY26Q2业绩超预期增长,全年收入指引上调彰显信心