BAMC(SH:601137)2026-01-30 11:09Investment Rating - The report indicates a significant downgrade in the investment outlook for the company, with a projected net profit drop of 88.92% to 92.61% for 2025 compared to 2024 [2]. Core Insights - The company's photovoltaic business has been severely impacted by new U.S. tariffs, leading to a drastic reduction in profit expectations [4][10]. - The company has decided to exit the renewable energy sector and refocus on its core materials business, which has shown consistent growth [12][14]. - The new materials segment, particularly high-performance copper-based alloys, is positioned to benefit from emerging technology trends, despite the challenges faced in the photovoltaic market [18][20]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company expects a net profit of only 100 to 150 million yuan for 2025, a stark decline from 1.354 billion yuan in 2024 [2]. - A total asset impairment provision of 1.025 billion yuan has been made, significantly affecting the company's profitability [9][10]. Market Challenges - U.S. tariffs of up to 307.78% on photovoltaic products exported from Vietnam have blocked the company's access to the U.S. market [4]. - The new U.S. legislation requires companies controlled by Chinese citizens to reduce their ownership stake to below 25% to qualify for federal subsidies, which the company does not meet [6][7]. Strategic Shift - The company plans to divest its U.S. photovoltaic projects and concentrate on its new materials business, which accounted for 74.62% of revenue in 2024 [14][16]. - The new materials business has shown a compound annual growth rate of nearly 20% from 2019 to 2024, with revenue expected to reach 139.2 billion yuan in 2024 [20][21]. Future Outlook - The global demand for advanced materials is expected to rise due to trends in AI, electric vehicles, and next-generation technologies, which the company aims to capitalize on [22][23]. - The company is already investing in new production lines for liquid cooling materials and collaborating with industry leaders to develop next-generation conductive materials [22].