保险行业2025年1-12月保费数据点评：25年产寿险保费稳健，资负共振推动保险估值修复

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance industry [2][3]. Core Insights - The demand for savings is driving growth in life insurance premiums, while the growth rate of property insurance premiums is slowing down, with a further increase in the proportion of non-auto insurance [3]. - The report anticipates a valuation recovery for insurance stocks driven by the resonance of assets and liabilities, maintaining the "Overweight" rating [3]. Summary by Sections Premium Income - In 2025, the total premium income for the insurance industry reached 611.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%. Life insurance premiums accounted for 436.24 billion yuan, up 8.9% year-on-year, primarily driven by strong demand for insurance savings [4]. - The breakdown of life insurance premiums includes 355.57 billion yuan for life insurance, 76.99 billion yuan for health insurance, and 3.68 billion yuan for accident insurance, with year-on-year changes of 11.4%, -0.4%, and -9.8% respectively [4]. - In December, life insurance premiums were 168.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, attributed to some insurance companies striving to meet annual business targets [4]. Property Insurance - The total premium income for the property insurance sector was 175.70 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.9%, with a decline in growth rate of 1.7 percentage points compared to 2024 [4]. - The income from auto insurance and non-auto insurance was 94.09 billion yuan and 81.61 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.0% and 5.0% [4]. - In December, property insurance premiums were 141.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%, with auto insurance premiums at 97.7 billion yuan, up 2.2% [4]. Investment and Valuation Outlook - The report expects strong demand for insurance savings to drive growth in new business value (NBV) in 2026, particularly through the bank insurance channel, which will significantly contribute to the value growth of listed insurance companies [4]. - The stabilization of long-term interest rates, combined with insurance companies increasing their allocation to high-quality equity assets, is expected to positively impact investment returns [4]. - The report highlights that the insurance sector has been systematically undervalued, and it anticipates a recovery in insurance stock valuations driven by favorable sales conditions and rising asset-side interest rates [4]. Recommendations - The report recommends overweight positions in China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life, and China Life Insurance [4].