Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The port coal price has slightly increased due to a minor contraction in supply and pre-holiday demand for replenishment, with the current price at 692 RMB/ton [1] - The average daily coal inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim has decreased by 1.60% week-on-week, while the average daily outflow has increased by 8.82% [1] - The report anticipates that coal prices will maintain a volatile trend due to high inventory levels and weakening industrial electricity demand as the New Year approaches [1] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,117.95 points, down 0.35% week-on-week, while the coal sector index rose by 1.57% [10] 2. Domestic Coal Prices - Domestic coal prices have shown stability with slight increases; for instance, the price of 5500 kcal coal in Datong rose by 20 RMB/ton to 602 RMB/ton [16] 3. International Coal Prices - The international coal price index has seen a slight increase, with the Newcastle coal price rising by 1.83 USD/ton to 111.26 USD/ton [19] 4. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The average daily coal outflow from the Bohai Rim ports increased to 189.33 million tons, while the inflow decreased to 155.18 million tons [30] 5. Shipping Costs - Domestic shipping costs have decreased by 1.30 RMB/ton, now averaging 32.33 RMB/ton [36] 6. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on resource stocks, particularly recommending Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy as elastic targets [39]
煤炭开采行业跟踪周报:供给年前略有收缩,港口煤价小幅上涨
Soochow Securities·2026-02-01 05:24