公募REITs周报(第52期):指数震荡上行,首批商业不动产REITs已申报-20260201
Guoxin Securities·2026-02-01 12:50

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, REITs fluctuated upwards, outperforming major stock and bond indices. The CSI REIT Index rose 0.8% this week, with water conservancy, energy, and transportation REITs leading the gains, while data center REITs, which had significant increases earlier, adjusted significantly. The order of weekly returns of major indices was: CSI REIT > CSI 300 > CSI Aggregate Bond > CSI Convertible Bond. As of January 30, 2026, the dividend yield of equity REITs was 60 basis points lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of concession - type REITs and the 10 - year Treasury yield was 326 basis points. The submission and acceptance of the first 8 commercial real - estate REITs by the Shanghai Stock Exchange signify a key expansion of China's public REITs market from the infrastructure sector to the commercial real - estate sector [1] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Secondary Market Trends - Index Performance: As of January 30, 2026, the closing price of the CSI REIT (Closing) Index was 809.56 points, with a weekly return of 0.8% from January 24 - 30, 2026, outperforming the CSI Convertible Bond Index (-2.6%), the CSI Aggregate Bond Index (0.0%), and the CSI 300 Index (0.1%). Year - to - date, the order of returns of major indices was: CSI Convertible Bond (+5.8%) > CSI REIT (+4.4%) > CSI 300 (+1.7%) > CSI Aggregate Bond (+0.4%). In the past year, the return of the CSI REIT Index was -2.8%, with a volatility of 7.5%. Its return was lower than that of the CSI Convertible Bond Index, the CSI 300 Index, and the CSI Aggregate Bond Index; its volatility was lower than that of the CSI 300 Index and the CSI Convertible Bond Index, but higher than that of the CSI Aggregate Bond Index [1][2][6] - Market Size and Turnover: The total market capitalization of REITs on January 30 was 228.7 billion yuan, an increase of 700 million yuan from the previous week. The average daily turnover rate for the whole week was 0.60%, a decrease of 0.16 percentage points from the previous week [2][8] - Sector - Specific Performance: As of January 23, 2026, the average weekly returns of equity REITs and concession - type REITs were 0.3% and 0.8% respectively. Among different project - type REITs, water conservancy, energy, and transportation REITs led the gains. The top three REITs in terms of weekly returns were Bosera Tianjin Binhai New Area Industrial Park REIT (+4.94%), ICBC Mongolia Energy Clean Energy REIT (+4.64%), and China Asset Management CNOOC Commercial REIT (+4.52%) [1][3][15] - Trading Activity and Fund Flow: Among different project - type REITs, new infrastructure REITs had the highest average daily turnover rate in the period, at 1.065%. Park infrastructure REITs had the highest proportion of trading volume this week, accounting for 20.251% of the total REIT trading volume. The top three REITs in terms of net inflow of main funds this week were China Asset Management China Resources Commercial REIT (38.6 million yuan), CICC Yizhuang Industrial Park REIT (15.9 million yuan), and CICC InCity Mall REIT (14.46 million yuan) [3][22][23] Primary Market Issuance - From January 1 to January 30, 2026, there were 3 REIT products in the in - inquiry stage, 3 in the feedback stage, 8 in the submitted stage on the exchange, and 8 commercial real - estate REITs were officially submitted [25] Valuation Tracking - Valuation Metrics: REITs have both bond - like and stock - like characteristics. As of January 30, the average annualized cash distribution rate of public REITs was 6.11%. From the stock - like perspective, relative net value premium rate, IRR, and P/FFO were used to evaluate REITs' valuations. The relative net value premium rate reflects the relationship between the market value and fair value of the fund, similar to the PB indicator of stocks. IRR is the internal rate of return calculated using the discounted cash - flow method, and P/FFO is the current price divided by the operating cash flow [27] - Sector - Specific Valuation: Different project - type REITs had different valuation levels. For example, the relative net value premium rate of affordable rental housing REITs was 42.40%, with a P/FFO of 38.43, an IRR of 3.50%, and an annualized dividend rate of 2.76% [28] - Comparison of Equity and Concession - type REITs: As of January 30, 2026, the dividend yield of equity REITs was 60 basis points lower than the average dividend yield of CSI Dividend stocks, and the spread between the average internal rate of return of concession - type REITs and the 10 - year Treasury yield was 316 basis points [1][30] Industry News - The first 8 commercial real - estate REITs' applications were accepted by the Shanghai Stock Exchange. On January 29, 2026, Hua'an Jinjiang Closed - end Commercial Real - Estate REIT, Huitianfu Shanghai Real - Estate Closed - end Commercial Real - Estate REIT, and CICC Vipshop Closed - end Commercial Real - Estate REIT were submitted and accepted. On January 30, another 5 commercial real - estate REITs were submitted, marking a key expansion of China's public REITs market from the infrastructure sector to the commercial real - estate sector [1][4][32]

公募REITs周报(第52期):指数震荡上行,首批商业不动产REITs已申报-20260201 - Reportify