工业硅、碳酸锂期货品种周报-20260202

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: "Industrial Silicon, Lithium Carbonate Futures Weekly Report" [2] - Report Period: February 2 - 6, 2026 [1] Group 2: Industrial Silicon Futures Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term Trend: Industrial silicon futures are currently oscillating. As of January 30, the price of 421 industrial silicon was 9050 yuan/ton in Xinjiang, 9900 yuan/ton in Yunnan, and 10000 yuan/ton in Sichuan. The AI intelligent investment consultation report shows the price is in a sideways phase, and the main force has a clear bearish attitude [8]. - Mid - term Strategy: Adopt a wait - and - see approach [9]. Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: The main contract of industrial silicon oscillated in the range of 8,000 - 9,500 yuan/ton [12]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: The main contract of industrial silicon is expected to oscillate in the range of 8,000 - 9,500 yuan/ton [12]. Relevant Data - As of April 19, 2024, the Shanghai Futures Exchange cathode copper inventory was 300,045 tons, an increase of 322 tons from the previous week. Seasonally, it is at a relatively high level compared to the past five years [14]. - As of April 19, 2024, the LME copper inventory was 122,125 tons, with a cancelled warrant ratio of 25.73%. Seasonally, it is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [18][21][26] Group 3: Lithium Carbonate Futures Mid - term Market Analysis - Mid - term Trend: Lithium carbonate futures are currently on an upward trend. As of January 30, the market price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 156,600 yuan/ton, and that of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 159,500 yuan/ton. The AI intelligent investment consultation report shows the futures are in a strong upward phase, and the main force has a strong bullish sentiment [34][35]. - Mid - term Strategy: Due to the large price fluctuations, adopt a wait - and - see approach [35]. Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: The bottom of lithium carbonate was rising, and the main contract should focus on the support in the range of 140,000 - 145,000 yuan [38]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: The main contract of lithium carbonate has support in the range of 140,000 - 145,000 yuan. This week, focus on whether the closing price breaks the support range and adopt a wait - and - see approach [39]. Relevant Data - As of April 19, 2024, the Shanghai Futures Exchange electrolytic aluminum inventory was 228,537 tons, a decrease of 3,228 tons from the previous week. Seasonally, it is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [41]. - As of April 19, 2024, the LME aluminum inventory was 504,000 tons, with a cancelled warrant ratio of 66.03%. Seasonally, it is at a relatively low level compared to the past five years [43][48]