2026年公募REITs市场1月报:首批商业不动产REITs集中亮相,盘点六大特征-20260202
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-02-02 02:16
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In January 2026, the REITs market started the year strongly, with the CSI REITs Total Return Index rising 4.2%, outperforming the CSI 300. Various asset REITs indices generally increased, with IDC, consumption, industrial parks, utilities, and warehousing leading the gains. The liquidity of the market improved, and most asset valuations significantly increased, while the REITs dividend yield narrowed compared to long - term bonds [4]. - The first batch of 8 commercial real - estate REITs were declared, showing six characteristics: diverse asset types, wide geographical distribution, state - owned dominance with participation from private and foreign enterprises, large issuance scale, different valuation safety margins for different asset types, and differentiated operating performance [4]. - In January, there were no new REITs issuances in the primary market, but two REITs' additional issuance shares were listed. China Nuclear Clean Energy REIT will be listed on February 2nd, and the offline issuance part will be fully tradable on the listing day. Five infrastructure REITs projects were terminated, and Hua'an Waigaoqiao REIT announced a planned additional issuance [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 First Batch of Commercial Real - Estate REITs Accepted, Six Characteristics Reviewed - Asset Types and Geographical Distribution: The first batch of 8 commercial real - estate REITs involve various asset types such as office buildings, commercial retail, and hotels, with the first - time appearance of mixed - asset offerings in public REITs. The projects are located in first - tier, new first - tier, provincial capitals, and regional core cities, and Hua'an Jinjiang Commercial REIT's underlying assets are mainly in second - and third - tier cities [10]. - Fund - raising Scale and Valuation: The average planned fund - raising amount of the 8 REITs is 3.934 billion yuan, much higher than that of infrastructure REITs in the pipeline. The valuation safety margin of commercial retail is relatively high, while that of office buildings is low [13]. - Operation Performance: Commercial retail has a stable high occupancy rate, office buildings show regional differentiation, and the hotel business has large operating fluctuations [13]. - Individual Project Analysis: Analyze the characteristics, performance, and risks of 8 REITs projects such as CICC Vipshop Commercial REIT, Huaxia CapitaLand Commercial REIT, etc. [15][19][22] - Listed Companies' Plans: As of January 30, 2026, 3 A - share listed companies (Poly Developments, Maoye Commercial, and Everbright Jiabao) announced plans to apply for commercial real - estate REITs, and Poly Developments' project has been accepted by the Shanghai Stock Exchange [50]. 3.2 January Market Flourished, with Differentiated Gains under Performance Growth - Overall Market Performance: In January 2026, the equity market was mediocre, the CSI 300 Total Return Index rose 1.8%, and the CSI Dividend Total Return Index rose 3.8%. The CSI REITs Total Return Index rose 4.2%, outperforming the CSI 300 and the CSI Dividend Total Return Index. Long - term bond yields declined [58]. - REITs Asset Performance: All types of REITs assets rose in January. IDC, consumption, industrial parks, utilities, and warehousing had the top five gains. The gains of utilities and consumption REITs indices widened significantly compared to December 2025 [64]. - Individual Bond Performance: 96% of REITs bonds rose, and only 3 fell. Hua'an Bailian Consumption REIT led the gains and triggered a trading halt [69]. - Liquidity: The average daily turnover rate of Shanghai and Shenzhen REITs was 0.55%, up 0.15 pcts month - on - month. The liquidity of IDC and consumption REITs improved significantly, while that of rent - protected housing and energy improved limitedly, and the trading of transportation REITs was still dull [74]. - Dividend Yield and Valuation: As of January 30, 2026, the dividend yield of equity - type REITs was 4.46%, and that of concession - type REITs was 8.58%. The spread between equity - type REITs and 10 - year treasury bonds narrowed, while the spread with CSI Dividend stocks widened. The P/NAV of equity - type REITs was at the 87% quantile, and the P/FFO of concession - type REITs was at the 52% quantile [75][85][86]. - Internal Rate of Return (IRR): The IRR of equity - type REITs was 3.8%, and that of concession - type REITs was 5.0%, both lower than the previous period [96]. 3.3 No New Issuance This Month, China Nuclear Clean Energy to Be Listed on February 2nd - Primary Market and Additional Issuance: In January 2026, there were no new REITs issuances in the primary market, and the additional issuance shares of Huaxia Fund China Resources Youchao REIT and AVIC Jingneng Photovoltaic REIT were listed [100]. - New Listing: China Nuclear Clean Energy REIT will be listed on February 2nd, and the offline issuance part will be fully tradable on the listing day [104]. - Queuing Projects: Two projects (China International Capital Corporation Xiamen Torch Industrial Park REIT and AVIC Beijing Changping Rent - protected Housing REIT) are under the first - round inquiry, and 5 projects are terminated [107]. - Bidding Projects: Hubei Cultural Tourism Group Co., Ltd. plans to issue public REITs for its cultural and tourism assets, and Huatai - PineBridge Fund won the bid for the public REIT project of Shanghai Real Estate (Group) Co., Ltd. [111] 3.4 JD Warehousing to Be Unlocked on February 8th, Hua'an Waigaoqiao Plans Additional Issuance - Unlocking and Additional Issuance: The strategic placement shares of Harvest JD Warehousing REIT will be unlocked on February 8th. Hua'an Waigaoqiao REIT plans to conduct an additional issuance and purchase two real - estate projects in Pudong New Area, Shanghai [116]. - Market - making Services: In the first half of January, Industrial Securities provided market - making services for some public REITs. Huaxia Nanjing Transportation Expressway REIT's original equity holder changed the use of the recovered funds [120].
2026年公募REITs市场1月报:首批商业不动产REITs集中亮相,盘点六大特征-20260202 - Reportify