CHACHA FOOD CO.,LTD(SZ:002557) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2026-02-02 02:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][2] - The target price is set at 29.03 CNY per share [5][2] Core Insights - The company is expected to see a recovery in revenue and profit in 2026, despite short-term performance pressures [2] - The decline in profit for Q4 2025 has narrowed, indicating potential stabilization [2] - The company anticipates a significant drop in net profit for 2025, with estimates ranging from 308 million to 320 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 62.33% to 64.68% [11] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 6,806 million CNY, with a slight decline of 1.1% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is 803 million CNY, down 17.8% [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is 1.59 CNY, with projections for 2025 at 0.61 CNY and 1.29 CNY for 2026 [4] - The return on equity (ROE) for 2023 is 14.5%, expected to drop to 5.4% in 2025 before recovering to 11.1% in 2026 [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 37.62 for 2025 and 17.73 for 2026 [4] Market Data - The company's market capitalization is 11,574 million CNY [6] - The stock has traded within a range of 20.96 to 27.82 CNY over the past 52 weeks [6] - The current stock price is 22.88 CNY [5] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a later Chinese New Year in 2026, positively impacting Q1 sales [11] - New product developments, particularly in the konjac product line, are anticipated to drive growth [11] - The snack wholesale channel has shown rapid sales growth, exceeding 90 million CNY in September 2025 [11]