双焦周报:基本面矛盾有限,节前震荡为主-20260202
Ning Zheng Qi Huo·2026-02-02 09:10

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core View of the Report - This week, the prices of coking coal and coke in the domestic market remained stable. After the first round of coke price increase was implemented, the profits of coking enterprises improved, and their enthusiasm for production increased. Some steel mills with low inventories still had demand for coke procurement. Currently, coking enterprises are actively shipping, and there is no obvious contradiction between coke supply and demand. Entering February, the coking coal market will enter the Spring Festival holiday period, with market activity dropping to zero. Mines will be on holiday and stop production, and traders will close, leading the market to gradually turn cold. The fundamentals of coking coal remain healthy, and prices may fluctuate before the Spring Festival [2] Summary According to the Directory Market Review and Outlook - This week, the prices of coking coal and coke in the domestic market remained stable. After the first round of coke price increase was implemented, the profits of coking enterprises improved, and their enthusiasm for production increased. Some steel mills with low inventories still had demand for coke procurement. Currently, coking enterprises are actively shipping, and there is no obvious contradiction between coke supply and demand. Entering February, the coking coal market will enter the Spring Festival holiday period, with market activity dropping to zero. Mines will be on holiday and stop production, and traders will close, leading the market to gradually turn cold. The fundamentals of coking coal remain healthy, and prices may fluctuate before the Spring Festival [2] Weekly Changes in Fundamental Data - The total inventory of coking coal was 23.3553 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 652,000 tons or 2.87%. The total inventory of coke was 9.6065 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 215,000 tons or 2.29%. The daily average pig iron output of steel mills was 2.2798 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 1,200 tons or 0.05%. The profit per ton of coke for independent coking enterprises was -55 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 11 yuan/ton or -16.67% [4] Futures Market Review - The report provides a 5-day intraday chart of the main contracts of coking coal and coke, with data sources from Steel Union Terminal and Ningzheng Futures [6] Spot Market Review - The report provides charts of the average price of various coking coal types, the self-pickup price of Mongolian coking coal, the summary price of quasi-primary metallurgical coke, the first-grade arrival price of Hebei Iron and Steel for metallurgical coke, the basis of coking coal, and the basis of coke, with data sources from Steel Union Terminal and Ningzheng Futures [8][11][15] Fundamental Data - The report provides charts of the daily average output of clean coal from mines and coal washing plants, the customs clearance volume of Mongolian coal at the Ganqimaodu Port, the inventory of coking coal in steel mills, independent coking enterprises, and ports, the available days of coking coal inventory in steel mills and independent coking enterprises, the daily average output of coke from steel mills and independent coking enterprises, the daily average pig iron output of 247 steel mills, the inventory of coke in steel mills, independent coking enterprises, and ports, the available days of coke inventory in steel mills, the profit per ton of coke for independent coking enterprises, and the profitability rate of 247 steel mills, with data sources from Steel Union Terminal and Ningzheng Futures [19][21][24]

双焦周报:基本面矛盾有限,节前震荡为主-20260202 - Reportify