中国价值链系列研究之三:全球生产网络与绕不开的中国
ICBCICBC(SH:601398)2026-02-02 12:42

Group 1: China's Role in Global Value Chains - China is transitioning from a trade node in existing divisions to a central force in global production networks, driven by structural dynamics[1] - China's long-term supply capacity has increased its share in global output, while industrial upgrades have reduced reliance on low-end segments[1] - China and the US form a dual core driving global value circulation, with China acting as a critical production input provider[1] Group 2: Trade Centrality and Dependency - China ranks first in global export centrality, indicating its dense network connections in value-added trade[2] - The US maintains the highest import centrality, acting as the "final settler" of value, highlighting the "China produces, US consumes" model[2] - China's import centrality is rising, making it a significant value receiver alongside its role as a major exporter[2] Group 3: Structural Dependence and Industry Insights - China's structural dependence is highest globally, indicating its essential role in trade flows and making it a "super router" in global production networks[8] - In manufacturing, China's export centrality mirrors the US's import centrality, showcasing a near-mirror structural feature across various industries[4] - China leads in structural dependence across most manufacturing sectors, including textiles and electronics, emphasizing its control over midstream supply chains[13] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - To mitigate systemic risks while consolidating its central position, China should diversify overseas production nodes and enhance cooperation with emerging markets[1] - Strengthening ties with high-value economies through trade agreements can solidify China's structural advantages and reduce vulnerability to external shocks[17]

中国价值链系列研究之三:全球生产网络与绕不开的中国 - Reportify