2025年Auto-ABS市场回顾与展望：发行规模有所回升，发行利率再创新低，资产表现依旧良好

Market Overview - In 2025, the Auto-ABS market saw a recovery with a total issuance of 135 deals, an increase of 33 deals from the previous year, and an issuance scale of 255.78 billion yuan, up 21.60% year-on-year[4] - The issuance of credit ABS remained stable at 32 deals, totaling 118.54 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.58%, accounting for 46.35% of the total[4] - The issuance of exchange ABS increased significantly, with 80 deals totaling 91.60 billion yuan, up 55.98%, representing 35.81% of the total[4] Issuer Concentration and Performance - The number of issuers in 2025 was 53, with 33 being leasing companies, indicating a slight decrease in concentration[8] - Financing leasing companies issued 103 deals, an increase of 33 deals, with a total issuance of 137.24 billion yuan, up 70.11%, accounting for 53.65% of the total[10] - The average issuance size for credit ABS was 37.04 billion yuan, while for financing leasing companies, it was 13.32 billion yuan[10] Credit Ratings and Interest Rates - The majority of issued securities were rated AAAsf, with 248 securities totaling 218.11 billion yuan, accounting for 97.71% of the total[13] - The average issuance interest rate for AAAsf securities was 2.07%, down 42 basis points from the previous year, with a range from 1.60% to 4.00%[14] - The average interest rate for AA+sf securities was 3.14%, down 53 basis points, with a range from 1.98% to 4.50%[14] Asset Pool Characteristics - In 2025, 126 Auto-ABS deals had publicly available asset data, with a total issuance of 246.56 billion yuan, and 62 deals had over 10,000 underlying assets, accounting for 76.84% of the total[20] - The average weighted remaining principal balance of the underlying assets was 224,600 yuan, indicating good asset pool diversification[20] - The weighted average contract term for assets over 36 months increased to 69.13%, up 11.61 percentage points from the previous year[23] Asset Quality and Future Outlook - The cumulative default rate for underlying assets ranged from 0.00% to 6.81%, with an average of 1.29%, indicating a slight increase from the previous year[35] - The early repayment rate remained low, primarily due to low borrower incentives, with most data showing rates below 15%[38] - The market is shifting towards a structural deepening, with opportunities arising from the penetration of new energy vehicles exceeding 50%[43]