有色金属行业跟踪周报：市场风偏下降叠加负伽马效应，贵金属波动率大幅放大

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 3.37%, ranking it among the top performers across all primary industries. Precious metals surged by 18.02%, while small metals, energy metals, and new materials declined [14][1] - The market is experiencing increased volatility in precious metals due to a decline in risk appetite and negative gamma effects, leading to significant fluctuations in prices [1][4] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44%, while the non-ferrous metals sector outperformed with a 3.37% increase, surpassing the index by 3.81 percentage points [14] - Among the sub-sectors, precious metals rose by 18.02%, industrial metals increased by 5.74%, while small metals, energy metals, and new materials saw declines of 1.09%, 8.17%, and 5.12% respectively [14] Industrial Metals - Copper: The demand from downstream sectors is declining due to the Spring Festival effect, leading to a rise in global copper inventories. As of January 30, LME copper was priced at $13,071 per ton, down 0.44% week-on-week, while SHFE copper rose by 2.31% to 103,680 CNY per ton [2][30] - Aluminum: Prices fluctuated due to rising natural gas prices overseas. As of January 30, LME aluminum was priced at $3,136 per ton, down 1.20%, while SHFE aluminum increased by 1.11% to 24,560 CNY per ton [3][35] - Zinc: Zinc prices increased, with LME zinc at $3,370 per ton, up 3.09%, and SHFE zinc at 25,835 CNY per ton, up 5.08% [38] - Tin: Tin prices fell, with LME tin at $50,600 per ton, down 10.61%, and SHFE tin at 409,000 CNY per ton, down 4.79% [42] Precious Metals - Gold: The price of gold on COMEX was $4,907.50 per ounce, down 1.52%, while SHFE gold rose by 4.10% to 1,161.42 CNY per gram. The market is facing downward pressure due to rising inflation data and the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates [4][45] - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chairman has led to a decline in market risk appetite, exacerbating the volatility in precious metals [46]