中国金融深化与居民金融资产变化趋势

Group 1: Current Trends in Financial Assets - "Deposit migration" is a hot topic as residents shift funds from traditional savings to diversified financial assets due to declining deposit rates and increasing wealth management awareness[1] - In comparison to the US, Japan, Germany, the UK, and South Korea, cash and deposits account for over 30% of residents' financial assets in most countries, with Japan and South Korea around 50%[3] - By 2030, it is projected that Chinese residents' holdings of cash and deposits, stocks and equity, funds, insurance, and bonds will grow by 42%, 43%, 22%, 61%, and 16% respectively compared to 2025 estimates[3] Group 2: Factors Influencing Asset Allocation - The proportion of equity assets is generally positively correlated with per capita GDP, with China's current equity asset share at 31%[3] - Aging populations increase the share of low-risk assets, as older individuals tend to prefer safer investments[3] - Low interest rates encourage residents to seek higher returns, leading to increased risk asset allocation, though the exact path remains uncertain[3] Group 3: International Comparisons and Predictions - China's financial asset structure is expected to align more closely with the Japanese and German models rather than the Anglo-American model, emphasizing lower risk preferences[3] - China's overseas financial asset holdings have significant growth potential, with current levels being over five times lower than those in developed countries[3] - The financial deepening process in China may slow down, with financial asset growth converging towards GDP growth rates due to various economic factors[3]