——金融工程行业景气月报20260203：能繁母猪保持去化，制造业景气度持稳-20260203

• The report tracks the prosperity signals of various industries, including coal, livestock farming, steel, structural materials, and fuel refining industries[9] - The coal industry revenue and profit growth are estimated monthly based on price and capacity factors[10] - The livestock farming industry uses the farrowing sow inventory and the slaughter coefficient method to estimate the supply-demand gap for pigs six months later[15][16] - The steel industry profit growth and per-ton profit are predicted using comprehensive steel prices and cost indicators such as iron ore, coke, and scrap steel[18] - The structural materials and construction engineering industries' profitability changes are tracked using price and cost indicators for glass and cement manufacturing[24] - The fuel refining and oil service industries' profit growth and cracking spread are estimated based on changes in fuel oil prices and crude oil prices[27] - The coal industry profit growth for February 2026 is predicted to be slightly negative due to a slight year-on-year decrease in coal prices[14] - The livestock farming industry predicts a potential pig supply of 166.51 million heads for Q2 2026, with a demand forecast of 171.43 million heads, indicating a slightly tight supply-demand balance[17] - The steel industry profit growth for January 2026 is predicted to be slightly negative, with the rolling 12-period PMI average not exceeding the threshold[22] - The glass industry gross profit for January 2026 is predicted to continue its year-on-year negative growth[26] - The cement industry profit for January 2026 is predicted to continue its year-on-year negative growth, with no significant increase in new housing starts[26] - The fuel refining industry profit for January 2026 is predicted to slightly decrease year-on-year[27][28]