Shanghai Aijian Securities·2026-02-03 10:24Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Strongly Outperforming the Market" [2][34]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in the price of photovoltaic components and a decrease in lithium battery production in February 2026. The overall production of photovoltaic components is expected to decline by 13.58% month-on-month, while the production of lithium batteries is projected to decrease by 10.5% in China [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the establishment of a new pricing mechanism for independent energy storage capacity, which is expected to provide stable revenue for new energy storage solutions. This is part of a broader trend towards optimizing capacity structures in the renewable energy sector [2][32]. Summary by Sections Production - Photovoltaic component production is forecasted to decrease by 13.58% month-on-month in December 2025. The lithium battery production in China is expected to be 188 GWh, reflecting a 10.5% month-on-month decline [2][3][10]. Prices - As of January 28, 2026, the price of polysilicon remains stable at 54.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of TOPCon double-glass components has increased by 3.07% to 0.74 CNY/W. The average price of lithium battery storage systems has risen by 2.82% to 0.5882 CNY/Wh [2][11][17]. Domestic Demand - In November 2025, the domestic photovoltaic installation capacity reached 22.02 GW, a month-on-month increase of 74.76%. The cumulative installed capacity for the year reached 274.89 GW, marking a year-on-year growth of 33.25% [2][23]. Overseas Demand - In December 2025, the export value of photovoltaic components was approximately 2.314 billion USD, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.22%. The inverter export value reached 839 million USD, showing a year-on-year increase of 26.12% [2][27][25].