南华期货碳酸锂数据日报-20260203

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Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Data - The strong support level of the lithium carbonate futures main contract is 130,000 yuan/ton, with a current volatility (20 - day rolling) of 112.1% and a historical percentile (3 - year) of 96.6% [2] - For the main contract, the closing price is 148,100 yuan/ton, up 15,660 yuan (11.82%) daily and down 31,500 yuan (-17.54%) weekly; the trading volume is 619,542 lots, down 24,772 lots (-3.84%) daily and up 237,229 lots (62.05%) weekly; the open interest is 355,770 lots, up 8,072 lots (2.32%) daily and down 66,663 lots (-15.78%) weekly [3] - For the weighted index contract, the closing price is 148,149 yuan/ton, up 14,806 yuan (11.10%) daily and down 31,564 yuan (-17.56%) weekly; the trading volume is 791,263 lots, down 79,300 lots (-9.11%) daily and up 282,371 lots (55.49%) weekly; the open interest is 687,342 lots, up 4,214 lots (0.62%) daily and down 116,988 lots (-14.54%) weekly [3] - LC2605 - LC2607 is -540 yuan/ton, up 340 yuan (170.00%) daily and up 160 yuan (42.11%) weekly; LC2605 - LC2609 is 600 yuan/ton, down 660 yuan (-1100.00%) daily and down 1080 yuan (-225.00%) weekly; LC2607 - LC2609 is 1140 yuan/ton, up 1000 yuan (714.29%) daily and down 1240 yuan (-1240.00%) weekly [3] - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange lithium carbonate warehouse receipts are 33,084 lots, up 843 lots (2.61%) daily and up 3,918 lots (13.43%) weekly [3] 3.2 Spot Data - In the lithium ore sector, the latest average price of lithium mica (2 - 2.5%) is 4,745 yuan/ton, down 85 yuan (-1.76%) daily; lithium spodumene (3 - 4%) is 8,550 yuan/ton, down 175 yuan (-2.01%) daily; lithium spodumene (5 - 5.5%) is 13,950 yuan/ton, down 250 yuan (-1.76%) daily; Brazilian CIF - lithium spodumene (3 - 4%) is 2,035 US dollars/ton, down 55 US dollars (-2.63%) daily; Australian ore CIF - lithium spodumene (6%) is 1,947 US dollars/ton, down 21 US dollars (-1.07%) daily; FASTMARKETS - lithium spodumene (6%) is 1,902 US dollars/ton, down 195 US dollars (-9.3%) daily; amblygonite (6 - 7%) is 14,350 yuan/ton, down 350 yuan (-2.38%) daily [20] - In the lithium salt sector, industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 150,000 yuan/ton, down 2,000 yuan (-1.32%) daily; battery - grade lithium carbonate is 153,500 yuan/ton, down 2,000 yuan (-1.29%) daily; industrial - grade lithium hydroxide is 139,000 yuan/ton, down 3,000 yuan (-2.11%) daily; battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) is 149,500 yuan/ton, down 2,500 yuan (-1.64%) daily; battery - grade lithium hydroxide (CIF in China, Japan and South Korea) is 18.25 US dollars/kg, down 0.75 US dollars (-3.95%) daily; LH CIF CJK - FASTMARKETS is 17.5 US dollars/kg, down 1.5 US dollars (-7.9%) daily [20] - In the cell material sector, lithium iron phosphate for energy storage (2.5g) is 54,980 yuan/ton, down 205 yuan (-0.37%) daily; lithium iron phosphate for power (2.5g) is 54,385 yuan/ton, down 485 yuan (-0.88%) daily; ternary materials for consumption (6 - series) is 178,900 yuan/ton, down 850 yuan (-0.47%) daily; ternary materials for power (6 - series) is 181,750 yuan/ton, down 1,050 yuan (-0.57%) daily; lithium hexafluorophosphate is 136,000 yuan/ton, down 2,500 yuan (-1.81%) daily; electrolyte for lithium iron phosphate energy storage is 31,850 yuan/ton, with no change; electrolyte for lithium iron phosphate power is 34,000 yuan/ton, with no change; electrolyte for ternary power is 34,500 yuan/ton, with no change [20] - The US dollar to RMB exchange rate is 6.9465, up 0.0029 (0.04%) [20] 3.3 Basis and Warehouse Receipt Data - The basis of the lithium carbonate main continuous contract shows certain seasonal trends [29] - The basis of the Ganglian - lithium carbonate main contract and near - month contract also shows seasonal characteristics [30][31] - The latest average basis quotes of different lithium carbonate brands relative to the futures main contract are as follows: Shengxin Lithium Energy is -1,000 yuan/ton; Tianqi Lithium Industry is -300 yuan/ton; Ganfeng Lithium is -700 yuan/ton; Tianyi Lithium Industry is -1,000 yuan/ton; Jiangxi Jiuling is -1,300 yuan/ton; Yongxing Materials is -1,000 yuan/ton; Zhongkuang Resources is -1,000 yuan/ton; Ruifu Lithium is -1,300 yuan/ton; Zhejiang New Era is -2,300 yuan/ton; Lanke Lithium is -2,500 yuan/ton (quasi - battery - grade) and -3,000 yuan/ton (industrial - grade); the comprehensive basis quote of four materials is -1,637.5 yuan/ton [32] - The total warehouse receipts of lithium carbonate are 33,084 lots, up 843 lots from the previous day [35] 3.4 Cost and Profit - The production profit of lithium carbonate from purchased lithium ore and the production profit of lithium hydroxide by causticizing method and smelting method show certain trends over time [38] - The theoretical delivery profit of lithium carbonate, the export profit of lithium hydroxide and the import profit of lithium carbonate also have their own trends [38]