“十五五”规划中的“债”机遇:详解政策东风如何重塑产业债格局(标的篇)
Soochow Securities·2026-02-03 13:34
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report focuses on the bond - issuing entities within key supported industries under the "15th Five - Year Plan". It combines bond performance and fundamental performance of these entities, using a qualitative + quantitative approach to build an objective and quantitative evaluation standard. The top 25% of entities in each industry in terms of comprehensive performance are selected as recommended investment targets for investors [2][8]. 3. Summary by Related Catalog 3.1 New Pillar Industries - Bond Performance: As of January 5, 2026, 30 bond - issuing entities with relatively superior comprehensive performance have most of their outstanding bond balances at 2 billion yuan or more. Their latest credit ratings are mainly AAA and AA +. They are mainly located in Shandong, Guangdong, Anhui, etc. Most of the latest bond - issuing costs are in the range of 2.28% - 2.54%, and the latest bond yields to maturity are in the range of 2.25% - 2.51%. Current institutional holdings are mainly from banks and public funds [9]. - Fundamental Performance: The interest coverage ratio of these 30 entities is mostly between 1.35 - 3.81 times, the cash - to - due - debt ratio is mostly between 11.91 - 65.02, the cash - to - short - term - debt ratio is mostly between 0.31 - 1.07, and the tangible net - worth debt ratio is mostly between 145.50% - 498.97%. The total revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company of most entities in Q1 - Q3 of 2025 have year - on - year growth rates in the ranges of - 10.12% - 0.29% and - 21.00% - 22.11% respectively [10]. - Recommended Entities: Water Development Group Co., Ltd., Anhui Energy Group Co., Ltd., Zhoushan Transportation Investment Group Co., Ltd., Sichuan Hydropower Investment and Operation Group Co., Ltd., Anhui Wanneng Co., Ltd., Gansu Electric Power Investment Energy Development Co., Ltd., and GEM Co., Ltd. [11][12] 3.2 Future Industries - Bond Performance: 20 bond - issuing entities with relatively superior comprehensive performance have most of their outstanding bond balances at 2 billion yuan or more. Their latest credit ratings are mainly AAA and AA +. They are mainly located in Beijing, Jiangsu, Shanghai, etc. Most of the latest bond - issuing costs are in the range of 1.94% - 2.70%, and the latest bond yields to maturity are in the range of 1.98% - 2.56%. Current institutional holdings are mainly from banks [17]. - Fundamental Performance: The interest coverage ratio of these 20 entities is mostly between 1.05 - 4.55 times, the cash - to - due - debt ratio is mostly between - 23.53 - 11.57, the cash - to - short - term - debt ratio is mostly between 0.66 - 2.07, and the tangible net - worth debt ratio is mostly between 104.16% - 314.54%. The total revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company of most entities in Q1 - Q3 of 2025 have year - on - year growth rates in the ranges of - 2.06% - 15.63% and - 43.24% - 166.76% respectively [18]. - Recommended Entities: Beijing Yizhuang International Investment and Development Co., Ltd., China Electronics Corporation, BOE Technology Group Co., Ltd., China Information and Communication Technology Group Co., Ltd., Anhui Railway Development Fund Co., Ltd., North Huachuang Technology Group Co., Ltd., Shanghai Silicon Industry Group Co., Ltd., Jiangsu Changjiang Electronics Technology Co., Ltd., Sichuan Jinduo Investment Co., Ltd., Tsinghua Tongfang Co., Ltd., Tianjin Jinzhi State - owned Capital Investment and Operation Co., Ltd., China Great Wall Technology Group Co., Ltd., and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable Joint Stock Limited Company [19] 3.3 Traditional Industry Upgrades - Bond Performance: 20 bond - issuing entities with relatively superior comprehensive performance have most of their outstanding bond balances at 2 billion yuan or more. Their latest credit ratings are mainly AAA and AA +. They are mainly located in Beijing, Shandong, Liaoning, etc. Most of the latest bond - issuing costs are in the range of 2.60% - 3.30%, and the latest bond yields to maturity are in the range of 2.55% - 3.31%. Current institutional holdings are mainly from banks and securities firms [22][23]. - Fundamental Performance: The interest coverage ratio of these 20 entities is mostly between 1.08 - 5.12 times, the cash - to - due - debt ratio is mostly between 2.11 - 20.71, the cash - to - short - term - debt ratio is mostly between 0.43 - 0.96, and the tangible net - worth debt ratio is mostly between 97.85% - 437.09%. The total revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company of most entities in Q1 - Q3 of 2025 have year - on - year growth rates in the ranges of - 11.58% - 11.53% and - 47.89% - 29.65% respectively [23]. - Recommended Entities: China Metallurgical Group Corporation, Shandong Hongqiao New Material Co., Ltd., Nanshan Group Co., Ltd., Taiyuan Heavy Machinery Group Co., Ltd., Luoyang Cultural Tourism Investment Group Co., Ltd., Guangxi Liuzhou Iron and Steel Group Co., Ltd., and Huayuan Group Co., Ltd. [24] 3.4 Infrastructure Construction Industries - Bond Performance: 30 bond - issuing entities with relatively superior comprehensive performance have most of their outstanding bond balances at 2 billion yuan or more. Their latest credit ratings are mainly AAA and AA +. They are mainly located in Henan, Shandong, Xinjiang, etc. Most of the latest bond - issuing costs are in the range of 2.69% - 3.24%, and the latest bond yields to maturity are in the range of 2.63% - 3.00%. Current institutional holdings are mainly from banks and securities firms [28]. - Fundamental Performance: The interest coverage ratio of these 30 entities is mostly between 1.06 - 1.62 times, the cash - to - due - debt ratio is mostly between - 1.66 - 9.28, the cash - to - short - term - debt ratio is mostly between 0.23 - 1.06, and the tangible net - worth debt ratio is mostly between 94.90% - 252.91%. The total revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company of most entities in Q1 - Q3 of 2025 have year - on - year growth rates in the ranges of - 16.10% - 29.44% and - 126.73% - 30.22% respectively [28]. - Recommended Entities: Shenyang Metro Group Co., Ltd., Shanxi Road and Bridge Construction Group Co., Ltd., Xinyang Construction Investment Group Co., Ltd., Urumqi Transportation and Tourism Investment (Group) Co., Ltd., Urumqi Urban Rail Transit Group Co., Ltd., Qingdao Ocean Investment Group Co., Ltd., Zhuhai Huafa Technology Industry Group Co., Ltd., and Rizhao Land Development Group Co., Ltd. [29][30] 3.5 Green Transformation - related Industries - Bond Performance: 20 bond - issuing entities with relatively superior comprehensive performance have most of their outstanding bond balances at 1 billion yuan or more. Their latest credit ratings are evenly distributed among AAA, AA +, and AA. They are mainly located in Beijing, Hubei, Zhejiang, etc. Most of the latest bond - issuing costs are in the range of 2.27% - 2.68%, and the latest bond yields to maturity are in the range of 2.19% - 2.40%. Current institutional holdings are mainly from banks and public funds [34]. - Fundamental Performance: The interest coverage ratio of these 20 entities is mostly between 1.21 - 2.26 times, the cash - to - due - debt ratio is mostly between 1.56 - 34.59, the cash - to - short - term - debt ratio is mostly between 0.35 - 1.08, and the tangible net - worth debt ratio is mostly between 100% - 494.40%. The total revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company of most entities in Q1 - Q3 of 2025 have year - on - year growth rates in the ranges of - 7.02% - 6.54% and - 60.19% - 56.29% respectively [34]. - Recommended Entities: Beijing Urban Drainage Group Co., Ltd., Wuhan Water Group Co., Ltd., Jiangyin Public Assets Management Co., Ltd., Zhongyuan Environmental Protection Co., Ltd., China Environmental Protection Group Co., Ltd., Chongqing Water Resources Investment (Group) Co., Ltd., Meishan State - owned Capital Investment and Operation Group Co., Ltd., Nanning Jianning Water Investment Group Co., Ltd., Haining Water Investment Group Co., Ltd., Wuhan Urban Drainage Development Co., Ltd., Yulin Water Group Co., Ltd., and Bazhou Guoxin Construction and Development (Group) Co., Ltd. [35] 3.6 Livelihood Security and Consumption Upgrade Industries - Bond Performance: 20 bond - issuing entities with relatively superior comprehensive performance have most of their outstanding bond balances at 1 billion yuan or more. Their latest credit ratings are evenly distributed among AAA, AA +, and AA. They are mainly located in Shaanxi, Guangdong, Chongqing, etc. Most of the latest bond - issuing costs are in the range of 2.71% - 3.36%, and the latest bond yields to maturity are in the range of 2.65% - 3.32%. Current institutional holdings are mainly from banks [41]. - Fundamental Performance: The interest coverage ratio of these 20 entities is mostly between - 0.17 - 2.30 times, the cash - to - due - debt ratio is mostly between 0.49 - 23.67, the cash - to - short - term - debt ratio is mostly between 0.28 - 0.72, and the tangible net - worth debt ratio is mostly between 160.37% - 416.79%. The total revenue and net profit attributable to the parent company of most entities in Q1 - Q3 of 2025 have year - on - year growth rates in the ranges of - 14.61% - 3.69% and - 7.76% - 143.84% respectively [41][42]. - Recommended Entities: Overseas Chinese Town Group Co., Ltd., Shanxi Cultural Tourism Investment Holding Group Co., Ltd., Shaanxi Tourism Group Co., Ltd., Shanghai Yuyuan Tourist Mart (Group) Co., Ltd., Anyang Investment Group Co., Ltd., Youyang Taohuayuan Cultural Tourism Group Co., Ltd., Yunnan Expo Tourism Holding Group Co., Ltd., and Yingfeng Group Co., Ltd. [43]
“十五五”规划中的“债”机遇:详解政策东风如何重塑产业债格局(标的篇) - Reportify