兴福电子（688545）：本土湿电子化学品龙头，充分受益存储需求提升

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 62.66 CNY per share based on a 65x PE valuation for 2026 [8]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic player in wet electronic chemicals, benefiting from the rising demand in the semiconductor industry [8]. - The company has established a dual-driven product system of "general + functional" wet electronic chemicals, achieving a top market share in electronic-grade phosphoric acid for three consecutive years [13][62]. - The company has successfully entered the core supply chains of major global semiconductor manufacturers, including TSMC and SK Hynix, enhancing customer stickiness and growth potential [8][62]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections show a steady increase from 878 million CNY in 2023 to 2.797 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 10.8% in 2023 and reaching 37.9% by 2027 [2]. - The company's EBITDA is expected to grow from 237 million CNY in 2023 to 927 million CNY in 2027, indicating strong operational performance [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from 124 million CNY in 2023 to 492 million CNY in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 56.3% in 2026 [2]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has a robust technology moat, with core products achieving international advanced levels in purity and quality, particularly in electronic-grade sulfuric acid and hydrogen peroxide [52][53]. - The company has developed a unique closed-loop business model that reduces costs and environmental pressures for clients, further solidifying its competitive edge [8][62]. - The company is expanding its production capacity and international presence, with significant projects underway in regions like Singapore and Korea, positioning itself to capture the benefits of domestic substitution and global capacity transfer [8][62]. Growth Drivers - The recovery of the global semiconductor industry and the acceleration of domestic substitution are key growth drivers for the company, with increasing demand for high-purity wet electronic chemicals [8][62]. - The company is actively increasing its R&D investment, which reached 39.24 million CNY in the first half of 2025, representing a 38.91% year-on-year increase [20]. - The company is expected to benefit from the rising demand for AI chips and high-bandwidth memory, which are driving the need for advanced semiconductor manufacturing processes [41][62].