宝城期货股指期货早报（2026年2月4日）：品种观点参考：金融期货股指板块-20260204

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The short - term risk preference of the stock market is cautiously optimistic, and the stock index will mainly fluctuate and consolidate. In the short - term, the upward driving force of the stock market is still weak, and the capital side is difficult to form a consensus. However, in the long - term, the positive policy expectations and the continuous inflow of incremental funds into the stock market remain unchanged, and the logic of the stock index's upward movement in the long - run is relatively reliable [5] Group 3: Summary of Key Points by Category 1. Variety View Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the IH2603 variety, the short - term view is "oscillation", the medium - term view is "oscillation", the intraday view is "strong - biased", and the overall view is "oscillating and consolidating". The core logic is that the valuation has increased rapidly, the stock index is oscillating and consolidating, and the demand is rising [1] 2. Price and Market Driving Logic of Main Varieties - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The varieties are IF, IH, IC, and IM. The intraday view is "strong - biased", the medium - term view is "oscillation", and the reference view is "oscillating and consolidating". The core logic is that the stock indexes oscillated and rose yesterday. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 2565.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 41 billion yuan from the previous day. With the stabilization of gold and commodity prices, the resource cycle sector rebounded, and the risk preference of the stock market was restored. This rebound is a technical correction of the previous over - decline caused by the weakening of risk preference due to the sharp correction in the commodity market. Currently, the trading volume of the stock market is still shrinking, indicating that the upward driving force of the stock market is still weak. Due to the weakening of macro - economic indicators and the "weak reality" pressure, combined with the fact that the increase in the stock rebound is mainly contributed by the valuation side, the willingness of the capital side to take profits and leave the market has increased, and it is difficult for the capital side to form a consensus in the short term [5]