东吴证券晨会纪要2026-02-04-20260204

Group 1: Micro Fund Development - The return logic of micro funds is primarily based on the valuation repair of low-attention assets and capital games, with a systematic selection of underpriced micro stocks to capture valuation recovery as attention increases [10][10][10] - Micro funds can be categorized into three types based on strategy implementation: active gaming type, flexible allocation type, and stable participation type, each differing in exposure, return elasticity, and drawdown characteristics [10][10][10] - The micro fund style is expected to have a phase of recovery and structural allocation value, benefiting from a friendly policy and liquidity environment under the "14th Five-Year Plan" [10][10][10] Group 2: Fixed Income Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on bond issuers within key supported industries under the "14th Five-Year Plan," using a qualitative and quantitative assessment method to identify the top 25% of issuers based on bond performance and fundamentals [3][3][3] - The analysis highlights that the majority of recommended issuers have bond balances of 2 billion yuan or more, with ratings predominantly at AAA and AA+ levels, indicating strong credit quality [3][3][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic conditions and industry policies, as well as the potential tightening of credit environments [3][3][3] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Jingdong Group's revenue is projected to reach 350.8 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase, while the retail business is expected to face pressure due to reduced government subsidies [20][20][20] - The company "Mingming Hen Mang" is positioned as a leading player in the snack retail sector, with projected revenues of 645 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [19][19][19] - The report anticipates that the company "Jiyuan Group" will maintain a strong market position in the health supplement industry, with a projected revenue of 10 billion yuan in 2024, driven by its innovative product offerings [17][17][17]