南华期货碳酸锂数据日报-20260204

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - No clear core viewpoints are presented in the report. It mainly provides various data on the lithium carbonate futures and spot markets. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Data - Price Range and Volatility: The strong support level for the lithium carbonate futures main contract is 130,000 yuan/ton, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 111.7% and a 3 - year historical percentile of 96.6% [3]. - Price and Volume Changes: The main contract's closing price is 147,220 yuan/ton, down 880 yuan (-0.59%) daily and 19,060 yuan (-11.46%) weekly. The trading volume is 311,897 lots, down 307,645 lots (-49.66%) daily and 161,326 lots (-34.09%) weekly. The open interest is 359,912 lots, up 4,142 lots (1.16%) daily and down 51,073 lots (-12.43%) weekly [4]. - CME and LME Futures: CME and LME provide data on the opening, high, low, last, change, settle, estimated volume, and prior - day open interest of lithium hydroxide futures contracts [14][17]. 3.2 Spot Data - Lithium Ore and Salt Prices: Lithium ore prices are mostly stable, with some minor changes. For example, the price of Australian CIF - lithium spodumene (6%) is 1,945 US dollars/ton, down 2 US dollars (-0.10%), and FASTMARKETS - lithium spodumene (6%) is 1,925 US dollars/ton, up 22.5 US dollars (+1.18%). Lithium salt prices generally decline, such as industrial - grade lithium carbonate at 149,500 yuan/ton, down 500 yuan (-0.33%), and battery - grade lithium carbonate at 153,000 yuan/ton, down 500 yuan (-0.33%) [19]. - Price Spreads: The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate remains at 3,500 yuan/ton. The difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and battery - grade lithium hydroxide is - 11,860 yuan/ton, up 2,560 yuan (-17.75%) daily and 2,480 yuan (-17.29%) weekly [22]. 3.3 Basis and Warehouse Receipt Data - Basis: The basis of the main continuous contract of lithium carbonate shows seasonal characteristics. The basis quotes of different lithium carbonate brands relative to the futures main contract are provided, with most showing no daily change [29][31]. - Warehouse Receipts: The total number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts is 33,084 lots, up 843 lots from the previous day. Some warehouses have changes in the number of warehouse receipts, such as Jianfa Shanghai increasing by 300 lots [34]. 3.4 Cost and Profit - Production Profits: Data on the production profits of lithium carbonate from purchased lithium ore (lithium spodumene concentrate and lithium mica concentrate) and the production profits of lithium hydroxide by causticizing and smelting methods are presented [41].