长城汽车(601633):长城汽车点评:单车营收持续增长,年终奖、政府补贴等因素短期扰动盈利
Changjiang Securities·2026-02-04 10:14

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.91 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year decline of 21.7% [2][5] - The company is accelerating its global expansion and is committed to the transformation towards new energy, with a continuous new car cycle expected to drive improvements in sales and performance [2] - Long-term strategies, including four major expansion strategies, are anticipated to open up long-term growth potential for sales, while the shift towards smart technology is expected to enhance profitability across the entire industry chain [2] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, the company achieved sales of 400,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 5.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.2% [12] - The revenue for Q4 2025 was 69.21 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.0% [12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 2025 is projected to be 1.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 43.5% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 44.4% [12] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on three dimensions: product, channel, and supply chain adjustments to deepen its new energy transition [12] - The "ONE GWM" strategy is accelerating the company's overseas expansion, with sales channels covering over 1,400 locations in more than 170 countries and regions [12] - The company is enhancing its technological capabilities in smart driving and data algorithms, which are expected to strengthen its competitive edge in the smart vehicle market [12] Future Projections - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 9.91 billion yuan, 14.20 billion yuan, and 17.40 billion yuan, respectively [12] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios for A-shares are expected to be 17.9X, 12.5X, and 10.2X for the same period [12]

GWMOTOR-长城汽车(601633):长城汽车点评:单车营收持续增长,年终奖、政府补贴等因素短期扰动盈利 - Reportify