环保公用事业行业周报（2026/02/01）：容量电价机制“扩围”，有序建立可靠容量补偿机制-20260204

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the environmental and public utility sector [2] Core Insights - The environmental and public utility sectors experienced declines, with the environmental index down 2.78% and the public utility index down 1.66%, indicating a larger drop compared to the overall market [6] - The report highlights the establishment of a reliable capacity compensation mechanism for power generation, which aims to ensure fair compensation based on reliable capacity without differentiating between unit types [10] - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the power sector, particularly recommending undervalued companies such as Anhui Energy and Huaneng International, while also highlighting long-term prospects for China Resources Power and other firms [6] Summary by Sections Key Event Interpretations - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued a notice to improve the capacity price mechanism, proposing a reliable capacity compensation mechanism based on reliable capacity as a standard [10] - The State Administration of Energy Management encourages the exploration of carbon asset trading and virtual power plants, promoting energy-saving renovations in public institutions [14] Weekly Market Review - Both the environmental and public utility sectors saw declines, with the environmental sector up 5.94% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices [15] - The report notes specific stock performances within the environmental and power sectors, highlighting both top gainers and losers [23][26][27] Key Industry Data Tracking - As of January 30, 2026, the price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal remained stable at 695 CNY/ton, while the price of Indonesian thermal coal at Guangzhou Port was 515 CNY/ton [29] - The report tracks water levels and storage in key reservoirs, noting changes in inflow and outflow rates [31] - LNG prices increased, with the import price at 12.10 CNY/million BTU and domestic ex-factory price at 4045 CNY/ton [42] Industry Key Events - The report outlines significant events in the power market, including various regulatory updates and proposals for long-term market implementation [56][58] - It also discusses developments in the dual-carbon market, emphasizing the promotion of carbon neutrality in large-scale events and the management of fixed asset investment projects [60] Upcoming Events Reminder - The report lists important upcoming announcements from companies in the environmental and power sectors, including stock circulation and equity incentive plans [61]