资产配置月报202602：风险偏好主导资产表现，权益关注风格切换-20260204

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that risk appetite is driving asset performance, with a focus on style rotation in equities [2][3] - The overall market sentiment is optimistic, particularly in the context of A-shares, with a notable emphasis on mid-cap blue chips [7][10] - The report suggests a cautious short-term outlook for gold, while maintaining a positive medium-term perspective [7][10] Asset Allocation Strategy - The strategy recommends increasing allocations to A-shares, Chinese bonds, and US stocks, with specific adjustments based on volatility strategies [25][52] - For low-volatility strategies, a slight increase in A-shares and US stocks is advised, while medium-volatility strategies suggest increasing A-shares and Chinese bonds, and reducing gold exposure [37][54] - The report highlights the performance of dynamic all-weather strategies, which have shown annualized returns of 6.0% since 2025 [58] Industry Rotation Strategy - The report recommends focusing on sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, new energy, military, communications, and electronics for February [39][44] - The industry rotation strategy has outperformed benchmarks, achieving an annualized return of 45.3% since 2025 [41][42] - Two approaches for industry selection are discussed: maintaining previous top sectors for stability and capturing the best-performing sectors for responsiveness [44][50] ETF Strategy - The ETF strategy aligns with the industry rotation and asset allocation strategies, recommending ETFs in sectors like non-ferrous metals, chemicals, new energy, military, communications, and information technology [46][51] - The performance of the ETF industry strategy has also outperformed benchmarks, with an annualized return of 44.8% since 2025 [48][49] - The report outlines two methods for ETF selection, balancing stability and responsiveness to market signals [50][51]