持续关注上游价格波动

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - In the production industry, the space photovoltaic technology is in the early stage of exploration and verification, and it's too early to determine a clear technical direction. Currently, GaAs batteries are the mainstream choice for commercial aerospace and space stations, while HJT perovskite technology is still far from large - scale commercialization [1]. - In the service industry, the 2026 Credit Market Work Conference of the People's Bank of China required to accurately grasp the economic and financial situation changes in the 15th Five - Year Plan period, strengthen financial services in key areas, and develop various types of finance [1]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs A. Upstream - 有色 (Non - ferrous metals): The price of electrolytic copper fluctuates, and the price of nickel continues to fall. The spot price of copper on February 4 is 104,786.7 yuan/ton, up 3.11% year - on - year; the spot price of zinc is 24,886.0 yuan/ton, down 1.39% year - on - year; the spot price of aluminum is 23,780.0 yuan/ton, down 2.00% year - on - year; the spot price of another type of aluminum is 16,481.3 yuan/ton, down 2.26% year - on - year [3][36]. - 农业 (Agriculture): The price of eggs has a callback. On February 4, the spot price of eggs is 7.7 yuan/kg, down 10.08% year - on - year. The spot price of corn is 2,267.1 yuan/ton, down 0.19% year - on - year; the spot price of palm oil is 9,074.0 yuan/ton, down 2.39% year - on - year; the spot price of cotton is 16,016.3 yuan/ton, down 0.59% year - on - year; the average wholesale price of pork is 18.4 yuan/kg, down 0.92% year - on - year [3][36]. - 黑色 (Black commodities): Black commodities decline slightly. The spot price of螺纹钢 (rebar) on February 4 is 3,177.0 yuan/ton, down 0.38% year - on - year; the spot price of铁矿石 (iron ore) is 805.6 yuan/ton, down 0.38% year - on - year; the spot price of线材 is 3,377.5 yuan/ton, down 0.88% year - on - year [3][36]. B. Midstream - 化工 (Chemical industry): The operating rates of PX and urea remain at high levels. On February 4, the spot price of PTA is 5,151.1 yuan/ton, down 3.08% year - on - year; the spot price of polyethylene is 6,930.0 yuan/ton, up 0.36% year - on - year; the spot price of urea is 1,777.5 yuan/ton, up 1.43% year - on - year; the spot price of soda ash is 1,201.4 yuan/ton, down 0.12% year - on - year [3][36]. - 能源 (Energy): The coal consumption of power plants is at a low level. The coal price on February 4 is 800.0 yuan/ton, down 0.50% year - on - year; the spot price of WTI crude oil is 63.2 dollars/barrel, up 1.31% year - on - year; the spot price of Brent crude oil is 67.3 dollars/barrel, up 1.11% year - on - year; the spot price of liquefied natural gas is 3,728.0 yuan/ton, up 3.61% year - on - year [3][36]. - 农业 (Agriculture): The operating rate of pork products increases [3]. C. Downstream - 地产 (Real estate): The sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities decline seasonally [3]. - 服务 (Service): The number of domestic flights is at a high level [3].