橡胶：宽幅震荡20260206

Group 1: Report Title and Date - The report is titled "Rubber: Wide - range Fluctuation 20260206" and dated February 6, 2026 [1] Group 2: Fundamental Data Futures Market - The day - session closing price of the rubber main contract was 16,175 yuan/ton, down 210 yuan from the previous day; the night - session closing price was 16,200 yuan/ton, down 125 yuan. The trading volume was 283,333 lots, an increase of 37,920 lots. The open interest of the 05 contract was 150,013 lots, a decrease of 9,904 lots. The warehouse receipt quantity remained unchanged at 111,570 tons. The net short position of the top 20 members decreased by 2,464 lots to 28,660 lots [2] Spread Data - The basis of "spot - futures main contract" increased by 10 to - 175; the basis of "mixed - futures main contract" increased by 90 to - 995. The monthly spread of RU05 - RU09 decreased by 10 to 110 [2] Spot Market - The RSS3 outer - market quotation remained at 2,200 dollars/ton. The STR20, SMR20, and SIR20 outer - market quotations decreased by 20, 20, and 15 dollars/ton respectively. The prices of Qilu butadiene styrene and Qilu cis - butadiene decreased by 200 yuan/ton. The near - port and spot prices of Thai standard and Thai mixed rubber increased by 20/25 dollars/ton, and the African 10 spot price increased by 15/20 dollars/ton [2] Group 3: Trend Intensity - The rubber trend intensity is 0, with a range of [-2, 2], indicating a neutral view [2] Group 4: Industry News - In Thailand, the weekly average price of glue increased by 1.73% to 58.9 Thai baht/kg, and the cup - lump price increased by 0.98% to 53.66 Thai baht/kg. The northern part of Thailand has stopped tapping, the northeast has large - scale defoliation, and the southern part has defoliation with latex factories raising the purchase price of glue. In Vietnam, the weather in the southern producing area is fine, and the tapping is approaching the end, with the local processing plants actively stocking up and the raw material price remaining high and volatile [3][4]