结构分化，重点关注AI及盈利兑现度：2026年港股互联网&科技策略前瞻

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a structural differentiation in the Hong Kong internet and technology sector, highlighting a focus on AI and profitability realization as key investment themes for 2026 [4][5][6]. Valuation Perspective - Since early 2025, the valuation of the Hang Seng Technology sector has been on the rise, with the Hang Seng Technology PE-TTM at 20.05 times as of December 31, 2025, which is 0.77 standard deviations below the historical average [4][9]. - The Hang Seng AH premium index stood at 123.46 as of December 31, 2025, below the historical average of 193.92, indicating a low valuation environment [9]. Funding Perspective - There has been a significant acceleration in southbound capital inflows since 2025, with notable increases in allocations to consumer, technology, and pharmaceutical sectors [5][13]. - The proportion of Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings in internet companies has increased, with Tencent's share rising from 10.1% to 11%, Kuaishou from 11.61% to 16.64%, Meituan from 10.4% to 20.76%, and Kingdee from 24.22% to 28.22% by December 31, 2025 [5][18]. - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to provide a liquidity floor for Hong Kong stocks, leading to a market characterized by strong indices, structural differentiation, and increased concentration among leading firms [5][19][21]. Internet Sector Dynamics - User traffic in the internet sector is stabilizing, with a strategic shift towards high-quality growth, driven by generative AI technologies that are penetrating high-frequency demand scenarios [22][28]. - The user base for AI applications is growing robustly, with significant increases in monthly active users (MAU) for various AI apps and platforms [28][30]. - Major internet companies are focusing on AI as a strategic direction, with substantial capital expenditures planned for AI development, including Alibaba's projected capex of 1,252 billion RMB, ByteDance's 1,600 billion RMB, and Tencent's 863 billion RMB for FY2026 [6][35]. AI and Advertising Integration - AI is becoming a critical driver for revenue generation, with domestic companies like Tencent and Alibaba leveraging AI in advertising to enhance efficiency and effectiveness [41][43]. - The report highlights the positive feedback loop between capital expenditure on AI and revenue generation, as seen in global leaders like Google, which is expected to invest between 910 to 930 billion USD in AI-related capital expenditures in 2025 [37][38]. Recommendations - The report maintains a "recommended" rating for the technology sector, focusing on companies such as Tencent, Alibaba, Bilibili, NetEase, Kuaishou, JD Health, and XPeng Motors as key investment targets [7].