宝城期货股指期货早报（2026年2月6日）-20260206

Group 1: Report's Investment Rating of the Industry - No information provided about the industry investment rating Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term view of the stock market risk preference is cautious, and the stock index will mainly fluctuate and consolidate. In the long - run, the logic of the stock index's upward movement is relatively reliable due to favorable policy expectations and the continuous net inflow of incremental funds into the stock market. However, in the short - term, the "weak reality" pressure of the macro - economy and the weakening of risk preference caused by silver have led to a cautious turn in the stock market sentiment [5] Group 3: Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For the IH2603 variety, the short - term view is "fluctuation", the medium - term view is "fluctuation", the intraday view is "relatively strong", the reference view is "fluctuation and consolidation", and the core logic is that the risk preference of the stock market is cautiously optimistic [1] 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The varieties include IF, IH, IC, and IM. The intraday view is "relatively strong", the medium - term view is "fluctuation", the reference view is "fluctuation and consolidation". Yesterday, the stock indexes fluctuated and pulled back. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 2194.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 309 billion yuan from the previous day. The sharp decline of silver weakened the market risk preference, making stock market funds more cautious and increasing the willingness of funds to take profits and leave the market, resulting in continuous shrinkage of trading volume. In the long - run, the positive policy expectations and the continuous net inflow of incremental funds into the stock market remain unchanged. But in the short - term, the "weak reality" pressure of the macro - economy and the weakening of risk preference caused by silver have led to a cautious turn in the stock market sentiment. Future attention should be paid to the implementation rhythm of policy benefits and the flow of funds [5]