计算机行业GenAI系列(二十五):从谷歌和微软业绩看AI叙事分化与再定价
GF SECURITIES·2026-02-06 02:28

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The latest financial reports from major tech giants indicate that the AI narrative is entering a new phase, where the market is systematically evaluating the actual contributions of AI to revenue structure, profitability, and cash flow, rather than just technological advancement or user scale [6][19] - Google has successfully integrated AI into its core businesses, enhancing profitability and operational efficiency, while Microsoft is focusing on building a new productivity ecosystem through AI, which may take longer to reflect in financial statements [6][21] - The differentiation in AI narratives is leading to a revaluation of companies based on their ability to demonstrate sustainable profitability from AI investments [21] Summary by Sections Google - Google reported a strong performance in Q4 2025, with revenue of $113.83 billion, up 18% year-on-year, and net profit of $34.46 billion, up 29.8% [9] - The cloud business saw a significant revenue increase of 48% year-on-year, driven by strong enterprise AI demand, with operating profit reaching $5.3 billion, reflecting a profit margin increase from 17.5% to 30.1% [11] - Capital expenditures for Google are projected to rise significantly, with $27.9 billion in Q4 2025 and an annual total of $91.4 billion, primarily focused on technology infrastructure [12] Microsoft - Microsoft achieved revenue of $81.3 billion in FY2026 Q2, a 17% increase year-on-year, with net profit rising 60% to $38.5 billion, influenced by OpenAI investment returns [15] - The Microsoft Cloud segment generated $51.5 billion in revenue, up 26%, indicating strong growth in enterprise AI and cloud services [15] - Azure's growth remains robust at nearly 40%, but there are signs of a slight slowdown in growth rate, with capital expenditures reaching $37.5 billion, focused on AI infrastructure [16][17]